Posted on 10/02/2004 12:03:54 PM PDT by Nataku X
October 2, 2004--A Rasmussen Reports survey of 1,000 Likely Voters conducted Friday night found that 52% believe John Kerry "won" Thursday night's debate. Forty percent (40%) disagree and think George Bush emerged victorious.
Predictably, by overwhelming margins, Republicans and Democrats each thought their candidate won. Those not affiliated with either party gave the nod to Senator Kerry by a 63% to 24% margin.
Still, regardless of who they want to win, 53% of those surveyed believe George W. Bush will be re-elected. Thirty-two percent (32%) think Kerry will win. Coming out of the Republican National Convention, 52% expected a Bush victory while 38% thought the Kerry/Edwards team would win.
Ninety-one percent (91%) of Bush voters still expect their man to win. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Kerry voters think the Democrats will win.
Six percent (6%) of voters say the debate changed their mind about how they will vote this November. This includes 3% who now say they will vote for Kerry, 2% for Bush, and 1% who are now undecided.
One interesting twist is that 64% of Kerry voters now say that Presidential Debates are very important. However, only 23% of Bush voters share that view.
Hope so... The idea of Kerry as president drives me furious!
However, Bush must do much better in the next debate and I believe he will.
There is another poster who was posting news of far more significance just before FR went down. Specifically, some group is offering a reward to anyone who fingers a fraudulent voter. The more money in that reward the better. This, plus digicam equipped poll watchers, could undo this supposed registration advantage.
I know plenty of people who are planning to double-vote but aren't voter rolls closed to the public?
This is just like 2000 -- Bush looked very uncomfortable and out of sorts in the "Formal" debate setting. In the "town hall" setting he was much more at ease and in his element interacting with the audience.
The next debate is "town hall" format.
Report them. They should get a visit from officials before the fact. Inform the campaign of them.
And if all this makes you uncomfortable, just let them know there is a huge reward being offered to anyone who fingers a fraudulent voter.
Based Upon Most Recent Rasmussen Reports Survey Data and Election 2000 Results
Bush 213
Kerry 169
Toss up 156
Total 538
September 30, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projection shows George W. Bush with 213 Electoral Votes and John Kerry with 169. There are now twelve states with 156 Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category.
Yesterday's change resulted from moving Michigan from Leans Kerry to Toss-Up. It was the third straight day a Kerry state has shifted to Toss-Up status (New Jersey and Maryland were the other two states). Generally speaking, any state where the candidate leads by less than five points is considered a Toss-Up.
The 213 Electoral Votes projected for Bush matches his highest total of the year. He has been at this level since the Republican National Convention.
For Kerry, the total of 169 Electoral Votes is his lowest total of Election 2004. Kerry was constantly in the lead and consistently above 200 projected Electoral Votes until mid-August. Kerry fell behind Bush in the Electoral College count during the weekend leading up to the Republican National Convention.
Michigan: Kerry 46% Bush 46%
Survey of 400 Likely Voters Sept 23-29, 2004
Bush 46%
Kerry 46%
Other 3%
Not Sure 5%
September 30, 2004--In Michigan, the race for the White House is tied. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 46%.
Michigan is a must-win state for the Kerry campaign and it has been leaning in Kerry's direction throughout Election 2004. Four years ago, Al Gore won the state with a solid 51% to 46% margin of victory.
One week ago, Kerry was up by five points in our daily Michigan Tracking Poll provided to Premium Members. He has been losing ground steadily since that time.
If you can get the contact info I'll consider it. They should just be interviewing every college student, the politically active ones are registering in every county they know
John Kerry practiced before the debate. George W. Bush did not practice.
The contact is your state's Secretary of State office. Call and tell them what you want to file a complaint concerning and they'll direct you to the right phone number.
If the Secy of State in your state is GOP, tell them it is liberal college students you have information concerning. If the Secy of State in your state is Dem, tell them you know of a plan in a local NRA group to cheat. Whatever it takes to get the right phone number. Then when talking to their enforcement people, give them the correct information and inform them you are notifying local newspapers too. They will have to act.
Yes, Bush practiced. But Kerry RESTED, and Bush consoled families who lost homes in Florida. Bush was tired and it showed.
I have posted links to all the previous threads posting it in chronological order.
18 replies Parlez-vous political free fall?
15 replies Parlez-vous political free fall?
6 replies Parlez-vous political free fall?
16 replies Parlez-vous political free fall?
31 replies Parlez-vous political free fall?
In accordance with Free Republic rules reguarding the
mention of Ann Coulter in a thread, I hearby post a picture
of Ann Coulter.
October 01, 2004 More early returns A CBS poll of uncommitted voters who watched the debate appears at first glance to be more comforting to Kerry than the Gallup poll discussed by Rocket Man below. Both polls reflect the view that Kerry debated better, but the CBS report suggests that Kerry did better than Bush on key "internals" as well. However, at the end of the story we learn that, after the debate, Kerry’s support among CBS's "uncommitted" voters rose to 38 percent from 31 percent, and Bush’s to 31 percent from 19 percent. So Bush actually narrowed the gap among the surveyed "uncommitteds," and the CBS study group was tilted towards Kerry from the start. Thanks to reader Mike D for pointing me to this poll. Posted by deacon at 04:55 PM
So Kerry got a 7 point bounce and Bush a 12 point bounce among the uncommitted according to the CBS poll. But then again can anyone trust CBS?
If you are going to have polls make your day or ruin it, here is something to keep in mind. The "news" states the Gallup Poll has Kerry the "clear" winner by 53% to 37%. Yet the question that spread reflects was, "Which candidate did a better job in the debate?"
Yet there were other questions that made Bush the winner: The candidates were tied in having a good understanding of the issues. "Agrees with me on the issues I care about." (Bush 49%, Kerry 46%). More believable (Bush 50%, Kerry 45%). More Likable (Bush 54%, Kerry 37%...wow!).
Wait a few more days and Kerry will need to scramble even harder to make up for even more lost ground.
I saw about 20 minutes of the debate. The negativity I've seen among Bush supporters convinced me that I was right to not rearrange my schedule to watch it. I think I will pass on the rest as well.
In other words, Rush was 100% correct (beating his 89% mark).
Yeah, he kinda looked exhausted. Not terribly. Kerry did not go to Florida to console the families.
I totally agree that Kerry's words will come back to haunt him.
I think one of the biggest things that bothers alot of us is that GWB's words were so measured and he didn't attack Kerry on hardly anything. BUT, guess who has VIDEO to show Kerry's words and the only VIDEO the dems have are his expressions.....NO WORDS. Think about it.
However, Bush must do much better in the next debate and I believe he will.
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I agree. Bush was excellent in the townhall style debate in 2000 (who can forget Gore trying to bully his way into Bush's side of the stage?) and should be so again.
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