CBS Trumpeted Gore's Bounce, But Ignores Kerry's Non-Bounce (Kerry's Backward Bounce!)

MRC ^ | Tuesday August 3, 2004 | BrentBaker

[fight_truth_decay]

Kerry's non-bounce doused by CBS. Four years ago, on the Monday after the Democratic convention, August 21, CBS Evening News anchor Bob Schieffer introduced a full story by trumpeting how "a CBS News poll out tonight shows that Al Gore got a big boost from the Democratic convention. He's up ten points and is now in a dead heat with George W. Bush." But this year, after a CBS News poll found no bounce for John Kerry as he held at 49 percent, the CBS Evening News didn't find their discovery to be newsworthy. Not a syllable about it on Monday's CBS Evening News, though a Monday headline on CBSNews.com declared: "CBS Poll: No Bounce for Kerry." ABC anchor Elizabeth Vargas passed along how an ABC News/Washington Post poll found "one of the smallest bounces for a challenger in 32 years," but in his story on the poll, Dean Reynolds stressed how Kerry "has gained ground on a number of issues."

[fight_truth_decay]

Kerry's Backward Bounce
Joel Mowbray

According to the USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll, conducted Friday and Saturday, Kerry lost a total swing of 5 points from the week before, head-to-head against Bush. Kerry declined 1 point, from 47% to 46%, and Bush bumped up 4 points, from 46% to 50%.

Heading into the convention, fully one-third of voters told pollsters that they didn’t know enough about Kerry. After a week of exposure to him and the Democratic Party, voters clearly didn’t like what they saw.

Excerpt

[Always Right]

Heading into the convention, fully one-third of voters told pollsters that they didn’t know enough about Kerry. After a week of exposure to him and the Democratic Party, voters clearly didn’t like what they saw.

Actually, voters still don't know enough about Kerry. The whole convention has to go down as the lamest convention in history. Just a bunch of feel good BS with no real talk on issues.

[Old Sarge]

Newsweek spiked the Lewinsky story.

CNN spiked the Saddam atrocities, in exchange for access to the leader.

Now, CBS spikes the bad poll numbers.

Censorship. A time-honored Leftist tradition.

[timestax]

CBSLIES

[blackdog]

The only bounce I pay attention to is from women joggers.

[68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub]

If you recall the media tried to give FL to Gore in 2000
VNS was a private consortium owned by
ABC News, The Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, and NBC.
4 of the 5 of the networks and cable newsrooms
(only ABC waited till both time zones closed)
"announced" Gore had won
BEFORE the 2nd time zone in FL had closed.
This cost President Bush votes in the FL panhandle.

I was at a friends house and the State of FL election website results showed President Bush was winning

In fact, the networks which called Florida for Gore did so early in the evening—before polls had even closed in the Florida panhandle, which is part of the Central Time Zone. NBC called Florida for Gore at 7:49:40 p.m., Eastern Time. This was 10 minutes before polls closed in the Florida panhandle. Thirty seconds later, CBS called Florida for Gore. And at 7:52 p.m., Fox called Florida for Gore. Moore never lets the audience know that Fox was among the networks which made the error of calling Florida for Gore prematurely. Then at 8:02 p.m., ABC called Florida for Gore. Only ABC had waited until the Florida polls were closed.

About an hour before the polls closed in panhandle Florida,
the networks called the U.S. Senate race in favor of the Democratic candidate.

The premature calls may have cost Bush thousands of votes from the conservative panhandle, as discouraged last-minute voters heard that their state had already been decided;
some last-minute voters on their way to the polling place turned around and went home. Other voters who were waiting in line left the polling place. In Florida, as elsewhere, voters who have arrived at the polling place before closing time often end up voting after closing time, because of long lines. The conventional wisdom of politics is that supporters of the losing candidate are most likely to give up on voting when they hear that their side has already lost. Thus, on election night 1980, when incumbent President Jimmy Carter gave a concession speech while polls were still open on the west coast, the early concession was blamed for costing the Democrats several Congressional seats in the West, such as that of 20-year incumbent James Corman. The fact that all the networks had declared Reagan a landslide winner while west coast voting was still in progress was also blamed for Democratic losses in the West; Congress even held hearings about prohibiting the disclosure of exit polls before voting had ended in the any of the 48 contiguous states.

Even if the premature television calls affected all potential voters equally, the effect was to reduce Republican votes significantly, because the Florida panhandle is a Republican stronghold. Most of Central Time Zone Florida is in the 1st Congressional District, which is known as the "Redneck Riviera." In that district, Bob Dole beat Bill Clinton by 69,000 votes in 1996, even though Clinton won the state by 300,000 votes.

So depress overall turnout in the panhandle,
and you will necessarily depress more Republican than Democratic votes.

A 2001 study by John Lott suggested that the early calls cost Bush at least 7,500 votes,
and perhaps many more.

At 10:00 p.m., which network took the lead in retracting the premature Florida win for Gore?
The first retracting network was CBS, not Fox.

Over four hours later, at 2:16 a.m., Fox projected Bush as the Florida winner,
as did all the other networks by 2:20 a.m.

At 3:59 a.m., CBS took the lead in retracting the Florida call for Bush. All the other networks, including Fox, followed the CBS lead within eight minutes. That the networks arrived at similar conclusions within a short period of time is not surprising, since they were all using the same data from the Voter News Service. (Linda Mason, Kathleen Francovic & Kathleen Hall Jamieson, “CBS News Coverage of Election Night 2000: Investigation, Analysis, Recommendations” (CBS News, Jan. 2001), pp. 12-25.)

The big 5 media TV and Cable newsrooms are the real threat to the 2004 election.

..."Early on Tuesday, November 7th 2000, TV stations and various media based in Florida reported that Gore has won Florida which was a big surprise for everyone because of strong republican support. Bush's brother Jeb is governor there and Florida usually gives support to the Republicans. Some of them questioned that and during the night CNN showed 52% Bush's lead over 46% for Gore. It is almost impossible to believe that media could have been that blind and biased to report Gore's victory."...

[Grampa Dave]

The Franchurian Candidate, al Kerry's dead kat bounce continue into Missouri:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1184120/posts

Missouri: Bush 50% Kerry 46%
RasmussenReports ^ | 3 August 2004


Posted on 08/03/2004 9:00:05 AM PDT by demlosers


August 3, 2004--In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 50% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Bush won the state of Missouri by a narrow 50% to 47% margin.

One month ago, our polling found the President with an identical four-point lead and the state was included in our "Toss-Up" category. A mid-month update provided for our Premium Members showed the President's lead increasing to six points in Missouri. Based upon that data, we moved the state to "Leans Bush." Now, with a 4-point margin, we are shifting the state back to "Toss-Up" in our Electoral College projections.

Two months ago, Bush was up by a single point in Missouri, 44% to 43%.

In Missouri, Bush is currently favored by 86% of conservatives while Kerry is favored by 86% of liberals.

In Missouri, 57% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up four points from a month ago and well above his national Job Approval rating.

Data for Missouri will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.




http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1184120/posts

[Luke21]

Back in 1972, you couldn't find a poll anywhere in the news, just the press shilling for McGovern and pounding Nixon on Vietnam and Watergate.

[hershey]

I noticed the news magazines all went with Olympic issues or dreams or some such nonsense. Kerry got a banner on top, looking gleeful as he charges forward. Not a peep about his freefall in the polls. They think if they don't mention it, it will go away. Kerry's staff probably made frantic phone calls to the media begging them to bury it. Rasmussen was on O'Reilly last night, dancing around the issue. He didn't come right out and say Kerry was toast, but as good as. He doesn't expect a close election, at least five points difference. And if the war in Iraq continues to go reasonably well, he said Bush would win going away. Not a word about Kerry's lies, flip flops, inability to snow voters with that ridiculous I have a plan (for raising your taxes, for winning the war on terror, for getting more help from all those foreign leaders who love me, but I can't name names),but I can't tell you anything before you elect me because my enemies will sabotage it. He's delusional. No one in his right mind would vote for a crackpot like Kerry. Presumably Rasmussen has figured this out, too.

[Nateman]

Why all this complaining about CBS? They let us know from the start you can't trust them by their very name: See B.S.!

[theDentist]

You're driving down the road and you hit a small wooden stick lying in the road. The car goes 'bump' and the coffee spills, loose things bounce around, and you may have to re-adjust your steering. Four years later you drive down the same road, you hit a shallow puddle. Nothing shakes, nothing spills, and perhaps you hold the steering wheel a touch more tightly, but probably not.

That's the difference between Gore and Kerry. Gore, by virtue of his office, had some substance, while Kerry has none.