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Election Forecast Models Trump The President's Bad Poll Numbers
Forbes ^ | May 27, 2019 | Bill Whalen

Posted on 05/27/2019 8:39:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

America doesn’t lack for superhero movies in the summer of 2019: an X-Men sequel will premiere a few days from now, followed in July by another Spiderman instalment.

But what of the Democrats’ search for a superhero of their own?

May I suggest: Aquaman?

Here’s why the submariner seems appropriate (other than the film’s preachy environmentalism): remove former Vice President Joe Biden and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg from this Quinnipiac Poll of 2020 Democratic candidates and what one discovers is a field that’s “underwater” (higher negatives than positives).

Biden’s numbers: 49% favorable; 39% negative.

His rivals for the nomination:

Bernie Sanders: 41%-48%;

Elizabeth Warren: 32%-41%;

Kamala Harris: 27%-30%;

Beto O’Rourke: 20%-32%;

Cory Booker: 23%-31%;

Buttigieg: 23%-19%

Bill de Blasio: 8%-45%.

Trump also is in the poll, which was released last week. His positive/negative came in at 38%-57%, compared to 41%-55 in the first week of May.

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: California; Delaware; Indiana; Massachusetts; New Jersey; New York; Texas; Vermont; Campaign News; Issues; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: akadeblasio; berniesanders; betoorourke; billdeblasio; billwhalen; bs; california; clowncar; corybooker; delaware; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; elizabethwarren; fauxahontas; forbes; indiana; joebiden; joeclowncarbiden; juliancastro; kamalaharris; massachusetts; mediawingofthednc; mikepence; newjersey; newyork; newyorkcity; ocasiocortez; partisanmediashills; petebuttigieg; presstitutes; qpoll; quinnipiac; sheilajacksonlee; slingingbull; smearmachine; southbend; texas; vermont
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1 posted on 05/27/2019 8:39:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Does the model forecast massive democrat voter fraud and illegals voting?


2 posted on 05/27/2019 8:44:35 PM PDT by 2banana (My common ground with islamic terrorists - they want to die for allah and we want to kill them.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; ...
Election Forecast Models Trump The President's Bad Poll Numbers
s/b
Election Forecast Models Mirror The President's Rising Poll Numbers

3 posted on 05/27/2019 8:44:37 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Pure unadulterated crap. Nonsense. Pure propaganda.


4 posted on 05/27/2019 8:57:43 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: 2banana

Does the model forecast the high numbers of people who will tell the pollster one thing - then turn around and vote for Trump?


5 posted on 05/27/2019 9:01:48 PM PDT by GOPJ (MSNBC bimbos stand WITH illegals against Americans and WITH China against our companies.)
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To: Fungi

“Pure unadulterated crap. Nonsense. Pure propaganda”.

Yep, total BS.


6 posted on 05/27/2019 9:16:41 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Quinnipiac = Hillary’s Pollsters.

That’s all you need to know.

De Blasio’s Fav/Unfav numbers = LOLOLOL


7 posted on 05/27/2019 9:19:57 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Trump is Making the Media Grate Again)
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To: GOPJ

The 2016 polls were basically (marginally) correct. Hillary did get more votes. However, the polls don’t reflect the significant factor....a state by state contest, and the Electoral College mattering in the end. To some degree, the polls aren’t built to work along these lines.

Another issue is that they typically go and poll people who normally vote. There was some evidence in 2016 that in some states....Trump got seldom-voters to come out and vote. Adding to this....black voters that came for Barak Obama’s two elections....didn’t come out that much for Hillary.

In the end, the polls simply couldn’t reflect these values.


8 posted on 05/27/2019 9:20:33 PM PDT by pepsionice
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I don’t believe polls. I think people lie and say they’re going to vote Democrat but secretly when they get in they are going to pull the lever for Trump


9 posted on 05/27/2019 9:22:55 PM PDT by proud American in Canada (Trump: MAGA Biden: MAMA)
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To: GOPJ

Exactly


10 posted on 05/27/2019 9:23:32 PM PDT by proud American in Canada (Trump: MAGA Biden: MAMA)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This is what we are going to hear up to election night, how bad Trump poll numbers are.


11 posted on 05/27/2019 9:45:09 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: pepsionice
Nice analysis - thanks for sharing.
12 posted on 05/27/2019 9:49:31 PM PDT by GOPJ (MSNBC bimbos stand WITH illegals against Americans and WITH China against our companies.)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Yup. “Polls” at this point are nothing more than the juvenile media saying, “Hey, you don’t want to support that blowhard Trump! You want to be where the cool kids like us are!”


13 posted on 05/27/2019 10:13:44 PM PDT by JennysCool
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To: fortheDeclaration
"This is what we are going to hear up to election night, how bad Trump poll numbers are."

--------------------

yes.

Trash talking Trump was so effective in 2016 and the DemonRats lack imagination or any coherent message other than "free stuff for everybody" so they will try this one more time.

The DemonRats are the do nothing, stand for nothing of value and trash America at every turn party.

Quinnapac isn't a poll, it is DemonRat cheer leading.

14 posted on 05/27/2019 10:14:42 PM PDT by Sa-teef
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

15 posted on 05/27/2019 10:17:55 PM PDT by wastedyears (The left would kill every single one of us and our families if they knew they could get away with it)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Here’s why the submariner seems appropriate (other than the film’s preachy environmentalism)”

Whoa, Jack. Aquaman (debuted in 1941) and Sub-Mariner (debuted 1939) are two different characters in two different universes and the former is a cheap imitation of the latter.

Making a blatant error confusing the characters destroys the author’s credibility.

Just kidding, but being comic book righteous.


16 posted on 05/27/2019 10:23:55 PM PDT by be-baw
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To: Fungi

[Pure unadulterated crap. Nonsense. Pure propaganda.]

Yes, from the NeverTrumpers at Forbes.


17 posted on 05/27/2019 10:42:14 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: laplata
This reminds me of something else.....




18 posted on 05/27/2019 10:44:03 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: pepsionice

[[black voters that came for Barak Obama’s two elections....didn’t come out that much for Hillary.]]

But but but- she wernt in no ways Tahrd- thought sure she won over the black vote by speakin her white version of black to them? s/


19 posted on 05/27/2019 10:48:53 PM PDT by Bob434
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To: Bon mots; dfwgator; null and void

‘til Seth Rich,
was taken out by the family,

That’s the day they all became
the Hillary Bunch.

The Hillary Bunch!
The Hillary Bunch!

That’s the day they became
the Hillary Bunch.

da-da-da-da-da-da!


20 posted on 05/27/2019 10:53:57 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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