Posted on 06/12/2017 10:27:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Democrat Jon Ossoff fell just short in his bid to capture the seat representing Georgias 6th Congressional District in a first-round knockout. Polls show a tight race, but it looks like he might have better luck in next weeks decisive Round 2.
The June 20 runoff in the Georgia 6 special congressional election pits Ossoff, a former congressional aide, against Republican Karen Handel, Georgias former secretary of state. In the first round April 18, Ossoff won 48 percent of the vote, far more than any of the other 17 candidates but short of the 50 percent he would have needed to win outright. (Georgia uses a so-called jungle primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation run against each other.) Handel came in second with 20 percent of the vote, earning the right to face Ossoff in the runoff.
Ossoff was hovering around a majority ahead of the primary, and the same is true now. But there is a key difference: Polls now show that he is expected to receive just over 50 percent of the vote on June 20; he polled just under 50 percent in the primary on average.
Ossoff has held a small lead over Handel in runoff surveys, and it appears to be widening.....
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
He’s going to lose.
Meaning, the dems wish they had a slight edge.
Didn’t 538 predict a Trump win? /s
A loss never worries a Dem. Unless it’s beyond “recount” range.
If Republicans had the “slight edge,” the last part of the headline would read, “But Dems Gaining Fast.”
I hope so, but it worries me that not one poll has Handel winning.
The polls are all skewed to favor democrats.
True in most cases. This one will be very close.
Why?
Trump won bigly.
How many polls had him winning? He won huge too. Broke through blue states.
President Trump carried this district by only 2% and according to those who live in this district say Ossoff’s been running ads Non-Stop and pretending a conservative. I don’t know who buys into the fact that there’s a conservative Democrat but some people are dim.
There’s too much leftist politics with both candidates, and that’s why it’s close. RINO Republicanism, instead of Conservative Republicanism, makes this a close race. An actual conservative candidate, as the final GOP candidate, would be doing much better with the total pro-conservative voters, in this Georgia Congressional District.
Great point. If you get a watered down RINO against a liberal most voters are gonna say what the hell’s the difference and vote for the Democrat.
Or in most cases under that scenario the conservatives stay home.
On the other hand, when the libs pretend to be conservative it tells you that conservative voters are in the majority.
The libs would prefer it if everyone believed we’re a fringe group rather than mainstream.
My fellow Americans in GA need to get out an vote. If you don’t vote then you cannot b*tch.
More fake news. What happened to that 8 point lead?
JoMa
Simply stated “Five Thirty Eight” is a total loser. The article reads like a CYA political sheet. Karen Handel is going to win the election against the Obama Man Servant, Jon “Pajama Boy” Ossoff, being held on June 20th, 2017 in the Georgia, 6th CD!!!
Folks, cast your votes for Republican, Karen Handel, and help the effort to totally destroy the entire Democrat Party, politically. Go Karen Handel, Go POTUS, Donald J. Trump and, MAGA!!!
As I recall, the night before the 2016 election, Five Thirty-Eight said Hillary had a 79% chance of winning.
So if they say Ossoff and Handel are close, Handel will win comfortably.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.