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Democrats Have A Slight Edge In The Georgia 6 Runoff: But the race is too close to call.
FiveThirtyEight ^ | June 12, 2017 | Harry Enten

Posted on 06/12/2017 10:27:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Democrat Jon Ossoff fell just short in his bid to capture the seat representing Georgia’s 6th Congressional District in a first-round knockout. Polls show a tight race, but it looks like he might have better luck in next week’s decisive Round 2.

The June 20 runoff in the Georgia 6 special congressional election pits Ossoff, a former congressional aide, against Republican Karen Handel, Georgia’s former secretary of state. In the first round April 18, Ossoff won 48 percent of the vote, far more than any of the other 17 candidates but short of the 50 percent he would have needed to win outright. (Georgia uses a so-called jungle primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation run against each other.) Handel came in second with 20 percent of the vote, earning the right to face Ossoff in the runoff.

Ossoff was hovering around a majority ahead of the primary, and the same is true now. But there is a key difference: Polls now show that he is expected to receive just over 50 percent of the vote on June 20; he polled just under 50 percent in the primary on average.

Ossoff has held a small lead over Handel in runoff surveys, and it appears to be widening.....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Georgia; Campaign News; Polls; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: congress; georgia; handel; ossoff
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1 posted on 06/12/2017 10:27:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He’s going to lose.


2 posted on 06/12/2017 10:29:12 PM PDT by FreedomStar3028 (Somebody has to step forward and do what is right because it is right, otherwise no one will follow.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Meaning, the dems wish they had a slight edge.


3 posted on 06/12/2017 10:30:22 PM PDT by exnavy (long live the .45 colt, the original handgun cartridge.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Didn’t 538 predict a Trump win? /s


4 posted on 06/12/2017 10:33:08 PM PDT by higgmeister ( In the Shadow of The Big Chicken)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

A loss never worries a Dem. Unless it’s beyond “recount” range.


5 posted on 06/12/2017 10:41:59 PM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If Republicans had the “slight edge,” the last part of the headline would read, “But Dems Gaining Fast.”


6 posted on 06/12/2017 10:45:04 PM PDT by JennysCool
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To: FreedomStar3028

I hope so, but it worries me that not one poll has Handel winning.


7 posted on 06/12/2017 10:47:53 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

The polls are all skewed to favor democrats.


8 posted on 06/12/2017 10:51:06 PM PDT by TexasCruzin (Trump is the man. #TrumpPence16)
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To: TexasCruzin

True in most cases. This one will be very close.


9 posted on 06/12/2017 10:53:37 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

Why?

Trump won bigly.

How many polls had him winning? He won huge too. Broke through blue states.


10 posted on 06/12/2017 10:56:06 PM PDT by FreedomStar3028 (Somebody has to step forward and do what is right because it is right, otherwise no one will follow.)
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To: FreedomStar3028

President Trump carried this district by only 2% and according to those who live in this district say Ossoff’s been running ads Non-Stop and pretending a conservative. I don’t know who buys into the fact that there’s a conservative Democrat but some people are dim.


11 posted on 06/12/2017 11:00:45 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

There’s too much leftist politics with both candidates, and that’s why it’s close. RINO Republicanism, instead of Conservative Republicanism, makes this a close race. An actual conservative candidate, as the final GOP candidate, would be doing much better with the total pro-conservative voters, in this Georgia Congressional District.


12 posted on 06/12/2017 11:03:03 PM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (The world continues to be stuck in a "all leftist, all of the time" funk. BUNK THE FUNK!)
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To: johnthebaptistmoore

Great point. If you get a watered down RINO against a liberal most voters are gonna say what the hell’s the difference and vote for the Democrat.


13 posted on 06/12/2017 11:06:17 PM PDT by dowcaet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Yo, Georgia, get on this and make it right. ;)
Win for the true constitutional republic. \o/ USA
14 posted on 06/12/2017 11:30:58 PM PDT by BurrOh (All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others. ~Orwell)
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To: dowcaet

Or in most cases under that scenario the conservatives stay home.


15 posted on 06/12/2017 11:34:08 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

On the other hand, when the libs pretend to be conservative it tells you that conservative voters are in the majority.

The libs would prefer it if everyone believed we’re a fringe group rather than mainstream.


16 posted on 06/12/2017 11:38:43 PM PDT by piasa
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

My fellow Americans in GA need to get out an vote. If you don’t vote then you cannot b*tch.


17 posted on 06/13/2017 1:51:32 AM PDT by WMarshal (President Trump, a president keeping his promises to the American people. It feels like winning.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

More fake news. What happened to that 8 point lead?

JoMa


18 posted on 06/13/2017 1:51:39 AM PDT by joma89
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Simply stated “Five Thirty Eight” is a total loser. The article reads like a CYA political sheet. Karen Handel is going to win the election against the Obama Man Servant, Jon “Pajama Boy” Ossoff, being held on June 20th, 2017 in the Georgia, 6th CD!!!

Folks, cast your votes for Republican, Karen Handel, and help the effort to totally destroy the entire Democrat Party, politically. Go Karen Handel, Go POTUS, Donald J. Trump and, MAGA!!!


19 posted on 06/13/2017 3:18:04 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: joma89

As I recall, the night before the 2016 election, Five Thirty-Eight said Hillary had a 79% chance of winning.

So if they say Ossoff and Handel are close, Handel will win comfortably.


20 posted on 06/13/2017 3:29:32 AM PDT by poconopundit (FR: Self-Reliant Lovers of Liberty who can't stop the Chatter)
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