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Is Donald Trump bouncing back in the polls? Second survey shows GOP nominee leading Clinton
The International Business Times ^ | October 14, 2016 | Harriet Sinclair

Posted on 10/15/2016 12:09:54 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Could the Republican be recovering from the scandals that have knocked his numbers?

Donald Trump appears to have bounced back from trailing numbers in the polls, with his first lead in a national poll following the various scandals that have dogged him over the past two weeks.

In the latest national four-way poll by Rasmussen Reports, Trump is now leading Hillary Clinton by two points, with a total of 43 to her 41, while Gary Johnson is on six points and Jill Stein is on two.

A national two-way poll by LA Times/USC tracking has Clinton and Trump on equal footing, which shows a marked difference from polls released at the beginning of the week, in which Clinton was leading Trump by as much as 14 points.

Trump had suffered several setbacks on the campaign trail that were reflected in the polls, including accusations he had not paid certain taxes for 18 years, leaked footage from 2005 that showed him making lewd comments about groping women, and allegations published by The New York Times by women who accused the GOP nominee of assault.

Trump, who has dismissed the allegations as "ludicrous", has since seen election rhetoric revolve around the women's allegations, also addressing them during the second presidential debate and suggesting the topic was distraction from the real issues of the day.

However, national averages still have Clinton in the lead, while the LA Times poll has been questioned, as it often shows Trump leading where others have shown the opposite - due to the different methods it uses to take polling data.

"A lot of readers have noticed that our USC/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll is different from other polls," explained David Lauter, LA Times/Chicago Tribune Washington Bureau chief last weekend, as he answered questions in a story about why their poll is an outlier.

The poll tracks 3,000 voters each day until election day. The other difference is in the questions it asks.

"The Daybreak poll asks people to estimate, on a scale of 0 to 100, how likely they are to vote for each of the two major candidates," wrote Lauter. The estimates are then combined to make the daily forecast.

However, this poll had the most accurate margin in predicting the Obama win in 2012, so it is not wise to dismiss anything as impossible in the run-up to November.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; grope; hillary; polls; trump; trumpbump
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1 posted on 10/15/2016 12:09:54 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

One would have to believe any polls to answer this question.


2 posted on 10/15/2016 12:11:03 PM PDT by Organic Panic (Hillary Clinton, the elderly woman's version of "I dindu nuffins.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

His numbers are probably slightly higher...


3 posted on 10/15/2016 12:13:46 PM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously-you won't live through it anyway - "Enjoy Yourself" ala Louis Prima)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

We can hope, but the important thing is go get out and vote.


4 posted on 10/15/2016 12:16:52 PM PDT by I want the USA back (Freedom of speech: an illusion that Americans hold fast to, although it disappeared decades ago.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

All you see on Yahoo is negative polls.


5 posted on 10/15/2016 12:19:46 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I have given up on polls. Way too much variation between polls.


6 posted on 10/15/2016 12:21:18 PM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

George W. Bush.....wonder if he realizes he was a pawn in the hands of power brokers.


7 posted on 10/15/2016 12:21:47 PM PDT by rovenstinez (so)
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To: I want the USA back

I just heard, on the radio, that smarmy “Campaign” Carl Cameron pretty much say her lead is insurmountable. It’s getting to the point that I don’t know which Fox person I despise the most.


8 posted on 10/15/2016 12:22:08 PM PDT by surrey
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

She humiliated herself with the claim that he stalked her during the debate, which was witnessed by tens of Millions.


9 posted on 10/15/2016 12:22:34 PM PDT by Williams (The (republican) party is over.)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Yahoo is a dying platform


10 posted on 10/15/2016 12:22:39 PM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast (When you are going through Hell, keep going)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Teflon Don


11 posted on 10/15/2016 12:22:41 PM PDT by conservative98
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump is General Washington leading the charge against the MSM’s Redcoats.


12 posted on 10/15/2016 12:23:02 PM PDT by reasonisfaith ("...because they received not the love of the truth, that they might be saved." (2 Thessalonians))
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To: rovenstinez

GWB IS a power broker.


13 posted on 10/15/2016 12:23:39 PM PDT by Louis Foxwell (Stop the Left and save the world.)
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To: Vendome

I’ll bet the internal polls tell a very different story.


14 posted on 10/15/2016 12:25:10 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: Organic Panic

Exactly right! We all need to realize we’re being played and develop an immunity to the psycological warfare that is waged via polls. They are tools for rigging the system.


15 posted on 10/15/2016 12:25:41 PM PDT by bigbob (The Hillary indictment will have to come from us.)
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To: Williams

She humiliated herself with the claim that he stalked her during the debate, which was witnessed by tens of Millions.


That was so stupid.

We are supposed to believe Hillary was troubled by being stalked??? Really???

but, Hillary supposedly is a tough woman, who fears nothing and no one, not Trump, not anybody. She is supposed to be rough and tough enough to send our military to war, make life and death decisions in the Situation room and all that.

But she’s allegedly so rough and tough, but can’t handle the sight of Donald Trump on a debate stage????? Really?????


16 posted on 10/15/2016 12:26:17 PM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: surrey

Carl Cameron may have two brain cells to rub together, but the existence of the second is still an open question.


17 posted on 10/15/2016 12:26:46 PM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast (When you are going through Hell, keep going)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The latest allegations are questionable.

As Michelle Obama knows well, women don’t like to be groped.

They will yell, kick, and even punch their attacker.

Police will usually be called in.

Airlines and nightclubs will ban an attacker.

Lawyers will be consulted. Rich gropers will pay dearly financially.

Women will talk to their female friends about their attacks.


18 posted on 10/15/2016 12:26:53 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Do bears poop in the woods...?

Is the Pope Catholic....not so much

19 posted on 10/15/2016 12:27:25 PM PDT by spokeshave (In the Thatch Weave,..Trump's Wing Man is Truth.)
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To: rovenstinez

W. was and still is a pawn of power brokers. This time, of the Uniparty vs the GOP.
I find it incredulous and a little disgusting to see W. snuggling up to Bill and Hillary, the way they trashed him in the press and at their public speeches. What happened to GWB’s healthy ego? He is now a durable and conveniant doormat for the Dems.


20 posted on 10/15/2016 12:27:27 PM PDT by lee martell
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