Posted on 02/21/2016 6:17:03 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
If you think the arguments between the Republican candidates have been bad, well, you ain't seen nothing yet. Pundits, reporters and political analysts are going to really have at it. Two competing theories about the Republican race are about to come to a head, and both of them can claim a victory of sorts after South Carolina.
The first theory is simple. It can be summarized in one word: Trump! The more detailed version would argue the following:
* Trump has easily won two of the first three states.
* Trump is ahead in the polls in pretty much every remaining state.
* Trump is ahead in delegates -- in fact, he may win all 50 delegates from South Carolina.
* Trump has been extremely resilient despite pundits constantly predicting his demise.1 He's been at 35 percent in national polls for months now. That's as steady as it gets!
So, um, isn't it obvious that Trump is going to be the Republican nominee?
Not so, say the Trump skeptics. Their case is pretty simple also:
* Trump is winning states, but he's only getting about one-third of the vote.
* Trump has a relatively low ceiling on his support.
* Trump now has a chief rival: Florida senator Marco Rubio...
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Boy are they behind the times.
Liberal Silver always the laggard when it comes to Trump.
“About to”???
It’s going to be a short war.
Trump is going to slaughter in the battle of Nevada on Tuesday.
And then on March 1, Trump is going to devastate. If you’re still a candidate other than Trump it’s going to be a “disaster”. It’s going to be “sad”.
It’s going to be a short war.
Trump is going to slaughter in the battle of Nevada on Tuesday.
And then on March 1, Trump is going to devastate. If you’re still a candidate other than Trump it’s going to be a “disaster”. It’s going to be “sad”.
“They’d point out that Trump faded down the stretch run, getting 32 percent of the vote after initially polling at about 36 percent after New Hampshire, because of his continuing struggles with late-deciding voters.”
Now that is a laugh. I guess you can cherry pick your polls there Nate to make your point. That is like Rush touting the WSJ/NBC poll with Trump at 26%. Nate, he won all 50 delegates.
Rubio is such a scumbag weasel.Breitbart is talking about how he threw out Chris Kane from the press conference when rubio introduced the gang of 8. He is the head of ICE’s officers union and an ex-marine.
go to hell Rubio and the drones out there who support him because of his speeches. Man i’m hot over this!
Pretty good reality-based analysis.
I think one completely existential factor is going to be the effect of Trump’s momentum should he produce a shut-out victory in Nevada. I think the optimists and the skeptics are pretty well dug in at this point, it’s the people who haven’t been thinking about it until their state’s primary gets closer who will probably be the deciding factor, and I wouldn’t write off the effect of momentum; it can be a powerful influence. People like to side with winners.
Trump performed exactly where the average of polls said he would in SC.
Both Rubio and Cruz far outperformed their polls (by up to 5 points)
About to?
Trump haters must be having a rough day today. And heeeeere comes Nevada!
And if you're Trump it'll be a tremendous victory with blood coming out of a fat pig.
Taunting a real veteran with that clip while praising the draft-dodging Trump speaks volumes.
And the end result was? 0 delegates for either Rubio or Cruz.
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