Here's the updated chart for 6/11/2021.
Posted on 06/11/2021 7:56:33 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
In before the abuse of the disrupters
Beat me to it. I see deaths are up slightly. Maybe that will make the disrupters happy, but hospitalizations are down so maybe not.
You know it, doc. 🥼
A little uptick in deaths over this last week.
Cases, hospitalizations and deaths have all been pretty steadily downward since mid-April (which I attribute to Herd Immunity effects beginning to manifest, as predicted by Dr. Makary at John Hopkins).
But cases now seem to be levelling off, and deaths even ticked up a touch.
Its the end of the week variance, it seems to be trending in the proper direction.
Also, remember that Florida now reports only Fridays in a batch so I dont think Worldometer has a great way of handling this so there is always the Florida spike on Friday that is absent the other days
Florida website shows about 12,000 cases last week which averages to 1500 a day or so — so really quite a way down in the sunshine state as well. Agree with herd immunity. If you look at the Florida DOH website they have a nice report of weekly cases, percent positivity and vaccination. Shockingly, the more vaccinated a country is the less the positivity is.
This will no doubt cause out friends the science denier to have a fit an will then try to explain to us how there is no correlation.
But all in all the laws of statistics and science seem to be again reverified with this data set.
The UK variant (B.1.1.7) seems to have reversed its long run of growth, beginning to account for a smaller proportion of the cases in the USA.
The Brazilian (P1) variant might be on the upswing.
Maybe the Indian "Delta" variant (B.1.617.2), now dominant in the UK (and apparently causing big problems there), which has started spreading here, is part of the problem. It may the most transmissible variant yet.
I heard one Doctor on TV interview on NewsMax today say “he is working with covid patients and most of the deaths are for un-vaxxed people”.
I can certainly confirm this. Most of the covid patients in the hospital are not vaxxed. And while the hospitalized numbers are way down. The ones coming in have had no immunization.
The majority of deaths in most countries can be attributed to causes that feature a distinct seasonal pattern. The figure depicts the relative monthly frequencies of nine selected causes of death in the United States for women and men combined for the years 1959–2014. The reported number of counts in parentheses in the title of each panel is the actual number of deaths.
Viruses gonna virus. Even non-viruses gonna non-virus.
If I am right, and a rise occurs this fall, I suspect it'll mean this bug will be with us forever - like influenza, it'll be a highly contagious but more fatal (case fatality rate of about 1.8% vs 0.2% for influenza) and seasonal annoyance.
The Nationwide seven day moving average of deaths (red line), seems to have reversed its multi-week decline over the last week, on the CDC report:
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (link goes to cases, then you have to select Deaths in “View(left axis)”)
It is small, but it seems to have inflected. Cases flattened out as well over this last week.
Same with our cases. Unvaccinated.
Two ways to herd immunity.
“most of the deaths are for un-vaxxed people”
“I can certainly confirm this. Most of the covid patients in the hospital are not vaxxed.”
Arkfreepdom recently reported the same where he is.
I was hoping the vaccinations would head off the variants. You can’t have the variants if there is no COVID-19 And the few variants could be knocked down by aggressive contact tracing.
I have learned that the variants evolve to be less deadly. The virus benefits by not killing off its host so it can continue to infect others via their host. It is the virus’s nature of infecting when in the asymptomatic stage that makes it so hard to control. I’ll be glad when someone invents a breathalyzer that you can blow into to check your COVID status.
The Indian “Delta” variant (B.1.617.2),may be something to keep on the radar screen.
It is about 4% of US cases, but it is the most transmissible of the variants of concern, and spread really quickly in India and the UK (where it is now already dominant, and delaying re-opening).
Two more features of note:
- Apparently it effects younger folks more than the others
- it is reported to have a particular ability to breakthrough in those with only a single shot, of the two dose vaccine.
I am not sure if that is just the AstraZeneca vaccine, or if it includes the Pfizer and Moderna as well.
The UK deliberately delayed second shots (12 weeks), to get more people first shots quicker. That worked well with the other variants, but the Indian variant seems to breakthrough first shots more significantly.
“I was hoping the vaccinations would head off the variants.”
The various vaccines have varied effectiveness against the different strains (variants).
The Pfizer and Moderna seem to be about the most effective, across the board.
The Chinese Sinovac and SinoPharm are generally the weakest. J&J and AstraZeneca are the mid-range in effectiveness.
Even if you get one of the variants after being vaccinated, statistically, the severity will be much less, and the risk of death dramatically less.
All fake.
https://conservativeplaylist.com/2021/06/10/cdc-caught-cooking-the-books-on-covid-vaccines/
To bad the people who died from the vaccine couldn’t read this
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