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Dept. of Ed. Wonders Why 40% of Student Borrowers Don’t Make Payments; Blame Bush (Seriously)!
Mish Talk ^ | 04/07/2016 | Mike Shedlock

Posted on 04/07/2016 7:32:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Over 40 percent of those in student loan programs have stopped making payments. Many borrowers have never made any payments.

The department of education (a useless body that I would eliminate in one second if given the chance), cannot figure out why this is happening.

We obviously have not cracked that nut but we want to keep working on it,” said Ted Mitchell, the Education Department’s under secretary.

The Wall Street Journal reports More Than 40% of Student Borrowers Aren’t Making Payments.

More than 40% of Americans who borrowed from the government’s main student-loan program aren’t making payments or are behind on more than $200 billion owed, raising worries that millions of them may never repay.

While most have since left school and joined the workforce, 43% of the roughly 22 million Americans with federal student loans weren’t making payments as of Jan. 1, according to a quarterly snapshot of the Education Department’s $1.2 trillion student-loan portfolio.

About 1 in 6 borrowers, or 3.6 million, were in default on $56 billion in student debt, meaning they had gone at least a year without making a payment. Three million more owing roughly $66 billion were at least a month behind.

Meantime, another three million owing almost $110 billion were in “forbearance” or “deferment,” meaning they had received permission to temporarily halt payments due to a financial emergency, such as unemployment. The figures exclude borrowers still in school and those with government-guaranteed private loans.

Navient Corp. , which services student loans and offers payment plans tied to income, says it attempts to reach each borrower on average 230 to 300 times—through letters, emails, calls and text messages—in the year leading up to his or her default. Ninety percent of those borrowers, which include federal borrowers as well as those who hold private loans, never respond and more than half never make a single payment before they default, the company says.

Crisis Easy to Explain

Carlo Salerno, an economist who studies higher education and has consulted for the private student-lending industry, noted that the government imposes virtually no credit checks on borrowers, requires no cosigners and doesn’t screen people for their preparedness for college-level course work. “On what planet does a financing vehicle with those kinds of terms and those kinds of performance metrics make sense,” he said.

I could easily come up with numerous reasons off the top of my head.

  1. Being in the workforce and having a job are two different things.
  2. Having a job and making enough money to pay back hundreds of thousands of dollars is yet another thing.
  3. Some feel cheated by the system, as well they should.
  4. Many have figured out the consequences of default are small. The worst that can happen is wage garnishment. Should that happen, one can always find another low-paying job, buying time until they are discovered again.
  5. Some never intended to pay back the loans in the first place. To those borrowers, it’s all free money for a few years. They will stay in school as long as they can. If by some miracle they actually graduate (or are kicked out), they never make a payment.

Blame Bush!

A large portion of the blame for this mess goes to George W. Bush. Seriously.

The Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act enacted April 20, 2005 made it much more difficult to discharge debts in bankruptcy.

Among other things, “BAPCPA amended the law to broaden the types of educational (“student”) loans that cannot be discharged in bankruptcy absent proof of “undue hardship.” The nature of the lender became irrelevant. Even loans from “for-profit” or “non-governmental” entities are not dischargeable.

The Deflation Guarantee Act of 2005

I predicted this mess when Bush signed the bill. As proof, I offer The Deflation Guarantee Act of 2005.

Here are my lead paragraphs as I wrote them at the time.

Today Congress passed the “The Deflation Guarantee Act of 2005” currently known as the “Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act of 2005”. Twenty years from now economists are going to be studying legislation from this Congress and signed by this administration and be wondering: “What the * were they thinking?”.

Consumer Protection Act? LMAO

Anytime this administration passes a law with the “protection” in it, assume it will do just the opposite.

Student Debt Highly Deflationary

I have wanted to refer back to that post on numerous occasions.

I had not done so previously because I strongly dislike my writing style in those days. I frequently used chat room talk like “LMAO” (laughing my ass off), in those early posts.

There are other aspects of my 2005 post that I dislike as well. However, I nailed the idea correctly. Student debt is a hugely deflationary force.

In the wake of that act (albeit with a bit of a delay), we saw massive amounts of seemingly reckless lending to students. Because of government guarantees, lenders did not give a damn who they lent to.

For profit universities flourished. Abuses at the University of Phoenix became rampant. And because of various lending programs that followed, education costs soared as well.

Those debts cannot be paid back, and household formation has gone into reverse. Students moved back home after graduation, and attitudes on debt have changed.

These are all debt deflation forces.

Modest Fee Request

The Department of Education will no doubt waste millions of taxpayer dollars studying this issue, only to come up with the wrong answers because students will lie.

Will anyone realistically admit “I never intended to pay back these loans”?

My modest fee for this analysis is a mere $250,000. Of that amount, I pledge $249,999.99 to the Khan Academy.

All I ask is a penny for my thoughts, saving taxpayers countless millions in useless department of education studies.

For more on the Khan Academy please see Teaching Revolution: Online, Accredited, Free; Start Learning Now!

Obama’s Role

President Obama does not escape criticism for his efforts to fuel the problem.

Here’s my blast at Obama: For Profit Schools Turn Students Into Debt Zombies; It’s Time To Kill The Entire Pell Grant Program.

There is plenty of blame to go around, but I have not seen a single person take this crisis back to the logical origin, the “Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act of 2005” making student debt non-dischargeable in bankruptcy.



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Education; Society
KEYWORDS: college; debt; education; tuition
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1 posted on 04/07/2016 7:32:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

They are waiting for the Democrats to make education free. A fool would pay off their student loans. /sarc


2 posted on 04/07/2016 7:37:58 AM PDT by dhs12345
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To: SeekAndFind

Imagine a world were 40% of taxes were not paid and no one had their bank accounts seized.


3 posted on 04/07/2016 7:38:30 AM PDT by Lockbox
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To: SeekAndFind

another highly political, nanny-state progressive social-engineering scheme - funded once again by our fiat, unbacked currency and massive government debt created by the Federal Reserve.

Conservatives will continue to watch the country melt around them as long as the Federal Reserve remains.


4 posted on 04/07/2016 7:38:43 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: SeekAndFind

Only allow student loans for degrees for careers that offer a good opportunity to make enough money to make the payments.

You want a race or gender studies degree fine, just don’t ask the taxpayer to underwrite your loan.


5 posted on 04/07/2016 7:39:14 AM PDT by fungoking (40% share for a TV show is a hit; in the 2016 election it a loss in a landslide, hello Pres Hillary)
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To: SeekAndFind

Obamabots ALWAYS BLAME BUSH FOR EVERY DISASTER THEIR WON HAS CAUSED. And they feel justified because the OSM (Obama Sycophant Media) agrees with them. One reason that 40% are not paying their student loans is because the Bush Admin tightened the rules on bankruptcy?? Well, if they go bankrupt, I guess they won’t be paying those loans anyway. Circular thinking brought to you by the Marxists in charge......they depend on the stupidity of the American citizens to be able to inflict their disasters on the public.


6 posted on 04/07/2016 7:39:23 AM PDT by originalbuckeye ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell)
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To: SeekAndFind

What did they expect from the entitlement crowd they helped create?


7 posted on 04/07/2016 7:41:39 AM PDT by Trillian
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To: dhs12345

I believe I read, a while back, that the Obama Admin wanted to ‘forgive’ student loans for those who went into Government jobs. If that comes to pass, our Government will swell to the point that the Chiefs will truly overwhelm the Indians and there will be no money to pay all those new Chiefs. (With a nod to Elizabeth Warren, who likely agrees with the premise of forgiving the debts of those who ‘serve’ in the Government)


8 posted on 04/07/2016 7:43:20 AM PDT by originalbuckeye ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell)
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To: SeekAndFind

My understanding about student loans is that the students are pissed because they are the one debt that can’t be cleared by a bankruptcy and the debt stays with you for a very, very long time.

They will push for them to be bankrupt-eligible at first, and then for forgiveness all together.


9 posted on 04/07/2016 7:45:16 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: SeekAndFind

This is the REAL reason.
It is common knowledge in the non-profit world to tell graduates that if they join a non-profit, their student loan will be paid for.

My two nieces were told this by multiple people.


10 posted on 04/07/2016 7:45:42 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: fungoking

I know one who has a BA in fine arts. He is working at the city waste water facility...very fitting.


11 posted on 04/07/2016 7:49:29 AM PDT by Mouton (The insurrection laws maintain the status quo now.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Jobs. We sold them an education as we were offshoring the jobs to China.


12 posted on 04/07/2016 7:53:35 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: Zathras

I have never heard that. Were your nieces loans actually paid off?


13 posted on 04/07/2016 7:55:52 AM PDT by lafroste
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To: fungoking
That seems logical, as would getting the government out of the loan business completely and letting the private finance companies charge interest rates based on the marketability of fields of study.

Political reality is that some bailout is inevitable. A partial bailout in return for getting the government out of the loan business completely would be a bargain.

Logical Six Point solution to the student loan crisis:

  1. Write off 25%. This is a necessary concession to the debtors who, in many cases, were duped into taking out loans they couldn't afford.
  2. Return 75% to the institutions of origin for collection.
  3. Institutes get to keep 5% of the 75% for their trouble but must remit the 70% back to the government.
  4. They are free to hold up transcripts, cancel degrees and employ all the other measures they did to collect against the debtors as when they were students.
  5. If the institutions still cannot pay back the government within the normal loan times, the government is free to attach their endowments, real estate and other assets.
  6. Government gets completely out of the loan business and encourages the institutions to line up their own lenders. If a tiny college like Hillsdale (Michigan) can do it, then there is no reason anyone else can't do the same.

    Yes, the taxpayer takes a 30% hit up front to liquidate this crisis, but that is far better than continuing to grow this monster.


14 posted on 04/07/2016 8:00:26 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: Gaffer

The “too many dollars” floating around for college has led to the increased cost.

Allowing student loans to be discharged by bankruptcy would drive down the inflated cost of college because banks would no longer offer the loans, or loan the $ to the college putting them on the hook.


15 posted on 04/07/2016 8:01:21 AM PDT by fungoking (40% share for a TV show is a hit; in the 2016 election it a loss in a landslide, hello Pres Hillary)
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To: SeekAndFind

Didn’t obummer take over college student loans????


16 posted on 04/07/2016 8:03:48 AM PDT by Harpotoo
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To: SeekAndFind

This all grew out of the EVERYONE-MUST-GO-TO-COLLEGE craze which is no different than any other fad like the tulip craze in Holland, various housing bubbles, and currently the auto-loan bubble.

People who benefit are those who get bailed out by the taxpayers (in one form or another they always get bailed out). People who get hosed are, as usual, those who pay taxes.


17 posted on 04/07/2016 8:04:12 AM PDT by Lorianne
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To: SeekAndFind

If the IRS started deducting student loan payments from tax refunds, the loan would often get repaid. Heck, in many cases, the “Earned Income Tax Credit” - welfare money given to taxpayers making up to 45K - would “pay” the loan, so the government would simply pay the loan out of the receiver’s welfare money.

But the best way to do it would be to have private banks make student loans, based on likelihood of repayment. Want a loan to study chemical engineering? Can do! Want one to do “womyn studies”? What is your collateral!


18 posted on 04/07/2016 8:04:42 AM PDT by Mr Rogers (We're a nation of infants, ruled by their emotion)
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To: fungoking
My thought has been to tie tuition to Y3 post graduate earnings and employment % in the field of study. The formula would be simple. Avg Y3 earnings (in the field of study) * % employed in field of study = max tuition that could be charged for the degree.

In other words, a school could have a degree in gender studies, but if only 5% of the graduates get jobs in gender studies, and those jobs only pay $32K/year, then the school would not be able to charge more than $1,600 for the degree TOTAL ($32K * 5%). I dont know of many schools that would charge you $1,600 for 4 years of education.

Finally, I would completely eliminate student loans, and instead implement a employment "seeding" program. Employers could pledge money to schools to cover a percentage of the costs of a program (it would have to be a full term commitment of funds). The more a company pledges to a school, the more graduates they will be ALLOWED to hire. Students being given the grants would receive paid internships with the employers each summer, to give the student experience and the employer the opportunity to determine if they want to continue to fund this student, or move their funding to a different student.

The benefits of a program like this would be multiple:
1. It would dramatically lower tuition costs across the board. 2. Employers would become very specific as to what degrees they valued and why 3. Students would be motivated to perform each and every year while in school, for fear of loosing their funding 4. Employment straight out of school would be pretty much guaranteed. 5. The taxpayer would be off the hook for the cost of higher education completely. We would not be underwriting bad loans, nor would we be paying the cost for a department of women studies. 6. The entire concept of tenure would vaporize, because colleges would require accountability from their professors when their precious little snowflakes crashed and burned in the real world and it caused the school to have to issue refunds to students.
19 posted on 04/07/2016 8:05:45 AM PDT by RainMan (Liberals are first and foremost, jealous little losers who resent anyone who has anything they dont)
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To: SeekAndFind

Resident Obama encourages non-payment under his program to bankrupt America. Hillary will do the same. They hate America no matter how much the world has benefited from our help.


20 posted on 04/07/2016 8:11:19 AM PDT by Rapscallion (You are correct. It IS a conspiracy, not a bad dream.)
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