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Hey Hansen! Where’s the Beef !?
watts up with that? ^ | March 8, 2012 | Anthony Watts

Posted on 03/10/2012 7:14:05 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach

In June 1986, Dr. James Hansen made a prediction to an AP newspaper reporter, which was carried in Oxnard, CA, of a 2 degree temperature rise by 2006. This was two years before, almost to the day before he and Senator Tim Wirth duped a bunch of Washington legislators with stagecraft on a hot June day by turning off the a/c in the hearing room while complaining about global warming and urging the need for “immediate action” (translation: cash).

Like Dr. Hansen’s 20 year sea level prediction, it hasn’t come true. In honor of the 80′s, when a popular TV commercial for a fast food restaurant had inspired a whole nation to say the catch phrase, I ask Dr. James Hansen, regarding your claims of global warming, “Where’s the Beef”?!</span> <p>Let’s have a look at <strong>Exhibit A</strong>: Hansens’ GISTEMP graph, distributed worldwide from the <a href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/21/nasa-giss-a-division-of-vandelay-industries/" title="NASA GISS, a division of Vandelay Industries?">GISS headquarters above Jerry Seinfeld’s favorite Monk’s Restaurant</a> in New York City. Annotations in blue mine.</p> <p><span id="more-58651"/></p> <p><a href="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/hansen_1986-2006.png"><img alt="" src="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/hansen_1986-2006.png?w=640" title="Hansen_1986-2006" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-58656"/></a></p> <p>Source: <a target="_blank" href="http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/">http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/</a></p> <p><strong>Exhibit B: </strong>The GISS Data, available <a target="_blank" href="http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.A2.txt">here</a>. Let’s do the math.</p> <pre>Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C) (Anomaly with Base: 1951-1980) ---------------------------------- Year Annual_Mean 5-year_Mean ---------------------------------- <strong>1986</strong> <strong>0.13</strong> 0.18 1987 0.28 0.20 1988 0.33 0.26 1989 0.21 0.31 1990 0.36 0.28 1991 0.35 0.24 1992 0.13 0.24 1993 0.14 0.25 1994 0.24 0.24 1995 0.39 0.30 1996 0.30 0.39 1997 0.41 0.40 1998 0.58 0.40 1999 0.33 0.43 2000 0.35 0.46 2001 0.48 0.46 2002 0.56 0.49 2003 0.55 0.54 2004 0.48 0.55 2005 0.62 0.56 <strong>2006</strong> <strong>0.55</strong> 0.53</pre> <p>Finding the difference: 0.55C – 0.13C = <strong>0.42C</strong></p> <p>Predicted change 2.0C compared to Actual change 0.42C = Climate Fail</p> <p><strong>Exhibit C:</strong> Where’s the Beef?!</p> <p><a href="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/hansen_1986-2006_beef.png"><img alt="" src="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/hansen_1986-2006_beef.png?w=640" title="Hansen_1986-2006_beef" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-58655"/></a></p> <p>Note: I realize that I could have placed the top prediction at 2.13C, but why pile on? ;-) What’s 0.13C between friends? Besides he said “nearly” and it is near well enough.</p> <p>Don’t believe me? Read for yourself. <a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="http://www.real-science.com/goto/http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=llJeAAAAIBAJ&amp;sjid=AWENAAAAIBAJ&amp;pg=5501,1378938&amp;dq=james-hansen&amp;hl=en">The Press-Courier – Google News Archive Search</a></p> <p><a href="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/james_hansen_1986-prediction.jpg"><img height="410" width="640" alt="" src="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/james_hansen_1986-prediction.jpg?w=640&amp;h=410" title="James_Hansen_1986 prediction" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-58654"/></a></p> <p>Big h/t to <a target="_blank" href="http://www.real-science.com/1986-hansen-predicted-degrees-warming-2006">Steve Goddard at Real-Science</a> for finding this one.</p> <p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> Some commenters suggested Hansen may have given the 2 degree number in Fahrenheit rather than Celsius. Another article on the same day suggests he did.</p> <p><a href="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/hansen_miaminews_june11_1986.jpg"><img height="404" width="640" alt="" src="http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/hansen_miaminews_june11_1986.jpg?w=640&amp;h=404" title="Hansen_MiamiNews_june11_1986" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-58663"/></a></p> <p>Read article here: <a href="http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=71XFh8zZwT8C&amp;dat=19860611&amp;printsec=frontpage">http://news.google.com/newspapers</a></p> <p>So at 4F we have <strong>2.2 C </strong> If the reporter in the first story took the middle between 2-4F as 3F we have <strong>1.67C or “nearly 2 degrees higher in 20 years” </strong>as the reporter from Oxnard states.<strong> </strong></p> <p>The 2010 Annual Mean Temperature anomaly from GISS is 0.63 C<strong><br/> </strong></p> <p>So, no matter how you look at it, Hansen’s 1986 prediction has not come true,</p> <p><div style="margin-bottom: 20px;"> <script type="text/javascript"> GA_googleFillSlot("wpcom_sharethrough_viplite"); </script><script src="http://pubads.g.doubleclick.net/gampad/ads?correlator=1934064975130388&amp;output=json_html&amp;callback=GA_googleSetAdContentsBySlotForSync&amp;impl=s&amp;client=ca-pub-3443918307802676&amp;slotname=wpcom_sharethrough_viplite&amp;page_slots=wpcom_sharethrough_viplite&amp;cookie=ID%3D078d6ab579fecccd%3AT%3D1309571070%3AS%3DALNI_Ma9oMkwCdbiSPIbc3MSv6XhpmTvOA&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwattsupwiththat.com%2F2012%2F03%2F08%2Fhey-hansen-wheres-the-beef%2F&amp;ref=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.freerepublic.com%2Ffocus%2Ff-chat%2F2857456%2Fposts&amp;lmt=1331435353&amp;dt=1331435354332&amp;cc=100&amp;biw=657&amp;bih=278&amp;adk=2899387771&amp;adx=40&amp;ady=4946&amp;ifi=1&amp;oid=3&amp;u_tz=-480&amp;u_his=1&amp;u_h=378&amp;u_w=672&amp;u_ah=365&amp;u_aw=672&amp;u_cd=24&amp;u_nplug=7&amp;u_nmime=80&amp;flash=10.3 d162&amp;gads=v2&amp;ga_vid=1045827632.1331435354&amp;ga_sid=1331435354&amp;ga_hid=216603690"/><div id="google_ads_div_wpcom_sharethrough_viplite_ad_container"><div style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204); padding: 5px;"/> <div> <span style="text-align: left; letter-spacing: 1px; font: 8px/1em Verdana,sans-serif; color: rgb(136, 136, 136); text-transform: uppercase; display: block; padding: 1px 0px 5px 1px;">Advertisement</span> <!-- BEGIN IFRAME TAG - Wordpress-400x267 CTP Test 1 < - DO NOT MODIFY --> <iframe align="MIDDLE" height="267" frameborder="0" width="400" scrolling="no" allowtransparency="true" leftmargin="0" topmargin="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" src="http://ads.shareth.ru/tt?id=627923"/>


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Science; Weather
KEYWORDS: globalwarminghoax

1 posted on 03/10/2012 7:14:05 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

uhhhh


2 posted on 03/10/2012 7:16:43 PM PST by F15Eagle (1 John 5:4-5, 4:15, 5:13; John 3:17-18, 6:69, 11:25, 14:6, 20:31; Rom10:8-11; 1 Tim 2:5; Titus 3:4-5)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Of all Hansen’s spurious claims, his contention that the span id=”more-58651”/ makes me most angry.


3 posted on 03/10/2012 7:18:42 PM PST by NittanyLion
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Help, Ernest!


4 posted on 03/10/2012 7:29:48 PM PST by DBrow
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Can’t quarrel with that ...(what ever it was)


5 posted on 03/10/2012 7:55:12 PM PST by Baynative (Please check this out - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fFIcZkEzc8I)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Hansen? Ain't no beef there ...


6 posted on 03/10/2012 8:13:10 PM PST by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

Thanks Ernest.


7 posted on 03/10/2012 9:43:04 PM PST by SunkenCiv (I come to bury Caesar, not to praise him)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Wasn’t Hansen the one heralding the “coming ice age” in the mid seventies? The guy is a professional Chicken Little.


8 posted on 03/11/2012 12:45:26 AM PST by Free in Texas (Member of the Bitter Clingers Association.)
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To: Free in Texas

Hansen has a history but I am not sure that is in his history.


9 posted on 03/11/2012 8:03:35 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I think it was here.

http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2007/09/19/nasa-scientists-predicted-new-ice-age-1971

But it was S.I.Risool who made the claim using Hansen's models. I stand corrected.

10 posted on 03/11/2012 11:25:35 AM PDT by Free in Texas (Member of the Bitter Clingers Association.)
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