Ann Selzer's secret sauce: Iowa's legendary pollster explains what makes her the best...

The Politico ^ | December 12, 2015 | Steven Shepard

[2ndDivisionVet]

At a time when trust in public polling has eroded after high-profile failures in elections across the country and around the globe, people in Iowa still have faith that one woman can accurately measure where things stand in next year’s volatile caucuses.

That woman, J. Ann Selzer, has predicted election after election in Iowa working out of a small office in the Valley Junction section of West Des Moines — between the Tres Amigos Mexican restaurant and Perry Bridal shop, and across the street from At the Heart of Quilting, a sewing-supply store.

As the Des Moines Register and Bloomberg News prepare to release Selzer’s latest survey of the GOP caucuses Saturday evening, how does the longtime Iowa pollster explain how she’s bucked the trend, even while acknowledging that conducting accurate polls becomes more difficult every cycle?[continued]

[erkelly]

So who does she think is going to win? (I’m just practicing the time-honored Freeper tradiation of not reading the article before posting.)

[2ndDivisionVet]

Cruz is leading in Iowa in her most recent poll.

[iowamark]

https://www.scribd.com/fullscreen/293112953?access_key=key-rO8xuh8TGvFmowOoI2n4&allow_share=true&escape=false&view_mode=scroll

[maine-iac7]

I’m liking that -

SOMEbody’s’ going to throw a hissy - he isn’t being ‘treated right” -

[Menthops]

The depths of the totally unwarranted invective, petty ridicule, lies, smears, and insults directed at Donald Trump, by the media, the GOPe, and other candidates really is appalling.

[maine-iac7]

The depths of the totally unwarranted invective, petty ridicule, lies, smears, and insults directed at BYDonald Trump, by the media, the GOPe, and other candidates really is appalling.

There.Fixed it for ya

[FourPeas]

Bump for an informative read

[sitetest]

The description of Seltzer’s methodology suggests her polls might be more intrinsically favorable toward trump, even if the final result shows Sen. Cruz in the lead.