DUmmie FUnnies 11-01-12 (DUmmies Hug Their Nate Silver Security Blanket)

DUmmie FUnnies ^ | November 1, 2012 | DUmmies and PJ-Comix

[Nervous Tick]

>> It would be a close match if his lips could be touched up with rabid foam.

He looks like the type of fella whose lips are frequently touched up with something resembling rabid foam.

[HerrBlucher]

The DUmmies have less tolerance for concern trolls than even FR. Not likely either they will have much tolerance for election day/day after schadenfreude trolls either, but it may be worth a try. Although one could theoretically be a schadenfreude troll by constantly wailing about the schadenfreuede going on at FR, and saying things like “it sucks to be us” etc.

[showme_the_Glory]

I was the first one to cast my vote today for R/R at 7 am. No lines yet :-)

[paul544]

The most interesting thing reading this is that DU crowd is looking at the same exact data we are and have a completely different take on it. They are equal but opposite of FR. So the truth lies in the middle which isn’t such a happy place.

[Bubba_Leroy]

77.4% of all statistics cited on the Internet are just made up.

[PJ-Comix]

Rush on the radio is now talking about Nate Silver!!!

[Personal Responsibility]

While its likely that the truth lies somewhere in the middle, it’s not necessarily true. It’s possible we could be right,100%.

[Red Steel]

Silver is betting his bias along with the Lib pollsters he swallows that borders on delusional like the rest of the clowns at DU.

For an example. Poll after poll including PPP and PMSNBC polls show very large margins of Indies breaking for Romney. I think the average is about 15% over Obama of all polls taken into account. What did Obama win the Independents vote by in 2008? I recall he won it by 7% to 8% over McCain and about the difference in the presidential 2008 election. If the polls are shown to be correct in a few days, that is about a 22% to 23% Indy swing from 2008 and in favor of Romney.

The liberal pollsters and Silver “think” that the Dims will show up voting at the same rate or even more than 2008, and that the Rs won’t increase their numbers but even be less than in 2008 to include the Independents who are woefully under represented in his analysis. The DUmmies are getting taken for a balloon ride where Silver is the balloon pilot. That balloon is filled will hydrogen gas - soon to be a flaming Hindenburg.

[HenryArmitage]

Silver is betting his bias along with the Lib pollsters he swallows that borders on delusional like the rest of the clowns at DU.
For an example. Poll after poll including PPP and PMSNBC polls show very large margins..
I agree for the most part. The idea is using the past to predict the future. If the PPP and PMSNBC are way off on their results they will suffer a less predictive weighting next year. As you pointed out the trouble with using historical turnout/results is each year has its own unique turnout/results and it is near impossible to factor in such intangible things as storms, economy etc. etc.. There is an excellant article at RedState that discusses just those short comings. Here if you are interested (should pop)

[Red Steel]

Just in case you haven't seen, more bad news for Obama and Silver.

Pew: Yup, Romney's Leading in Early Voting [Confirms Gallup]

[HenryArmitage]

I had NOT seen that. Very interesting indeed! Although I tend not to give a damn about national numbers as we are in an EV battle. Now being ahead in swing states early voting, that would be telling, I would think. From what i have seen from swing states, early voting looks tight but way down for Dems from 2008 numbers. Have you been seeing the same thing?

[Red Steel]

I think it is likely indicative across the board.

I usually look for LS’s posts since he watches the numbers closely from the key swing state Ohio. Still looks pretty good to me.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2952740/posts?page=14#14

[GeronL]

bump

Hey Democrats, you got this, it’s in the bag, stay home, relax with Chianti and fava beans

[GeronL]

Lib Poll Pope is buttering up the liberals for a mighty revelation on Election Night.

[mowowie]

Don’t you realize that is Pure Genius that we are looking at there Charles?
I mean the glasses alone.....

[Choose Ye This Day]

I early voted today and had no wait at all.

[submarinerswife]

I really hope we are not setting ourselves up for a big time disappointment...

While getting cocky about an outcome that you want so badly is a sure sign that you will lose (Supreme Court Obamacare decision, Casey Anthony Trial), don't fall for anything that the Libs pull out of their butts. The freaks at DU would celebrate the "Psychic Friends Network" predictions of a 77.4% chance for O if it meant they could escape reality for a little while.

Early voter turnout doesn't belong to Libs no matter what the talking heads say.

[submarinerswife]

Who the hell is this guy? Does he have a reputation for correct polling data and where does he get any amount of credibility? Never heard of him. Thought he was another whacked out Kos blogger.

[submarinerswife]

LOL OMG you had me spitting coffee! You so bad, Charles!

[submarinerswife]

LOL you and Charles have me rolling. STOP! This is a serious subject! DU minions aren’t throwing them selves off of a cliff because of Nate’s analysis!