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U.S. election: race could determine outcome (Here we go)
The Toronto Star ^ | November 3, 2012 | Olivia Ward

Posted on 11/03/2012 9:09:10 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The fury sizzles from the screen: images of President Barack Obama on a trip to Kenya, declaring he is proud to be “back home.” Another denigrating Obama’s publicly released birth certificate with the label, “Stamp Out Fraud.” And yet another that blares “Missing: REAL birth certificates and 2 U.S. citizen parents.”

Extremist conspiracy theories proliferated in 2008, when Obama became a contender for the title of first black president. But these racially-driven slurs are circulating today on the Internet, and reaching ever-wider audiences.

When Obama won in 2008, pundits proclaimed a new “post-racist” America.

But a study released last week shows that although racist views are quieter today, they’re still echoing in the minds of voters. On Tuesday, they could even determine the outcome of a too-close-to-call poll.

“Anti-black sentiment seems to have increased slightly in America over the course of Mr. Obama’s term and this sentiment may be shaping evaluations of (his) presidency as well as the likelihood that individuals will vote for him in 2012,” says The Associated Press study, carried out by researchers at Stanford University, University of Chicago and University of Michigan.

Some Americans are willing to admit their racist sentiments in online questionnaires, if not in public. Fifty-one per cent of those polled in 2012 expressed “explicit” anti-black attitudes, compared with 48 per cent in a similar study in 2008. On election day, that could clip 5 percentage points from Obama’s popular vote in a contest with white rival Mitt Romney.

However, Obama could also gain 3 percentage points from pro-black voters. That would add up to a smaller 2 percentage point net loss due to racism.

The studies, done over the Internet, were developed to measure sensitive racial attitudes between 2008 and 2012. Altogether, they surveyed 4,336 people, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

“The results are disturbing but not surprising,” says Josh Pasek of University of Michigan, one of the study’s authors. “Racial attitudes in America have been a major issue for a long time. To imagine they’d disappear with the election of a black president is probably naïve.”

He adds, “I don’t believe that either candidate wants racial tension as part of the discussion. But to imagine those views aren’t playing out under the surface is to forget a lot of American history.”

So deep are those sentiments — either overt or covert — that “racial resentment” is one of two most strongly held contemporary political attitudes, says David O. Sears in the New York Times. The UCLA psychology professor extensively analyzed attitudes to race in the 2008 election.

Party identification, the other attitude Sears cites, is becoming increasingly polarized by race. According to the Pew Research Center, 56 per cent of registered white male voters identify as Republicans and 36 per cent as Democrats in 2012, a 20-point spread.

Rising resentment against Muslims also hits Obama, whose bitterest foes refer to him as “Hussein,” and refuse to accept that he is not Muslim. A recent Pew poll found that only 49 per cent of voters — less than half — know Obama is Christian, and 17 per cent believe he’s a Muslim in spite of overwhelming evidence to the contrary. The poll also showed that the number of Republicans who believe Obama is Muslim has doubled to 30 per cent since 2008.

The overlap of religion and race may be a factor in Pew’s finding that some 62 per cent of voters are untroubled by Romney’s Mormon faith.

While hate groups have increased sharply in the U.S since 2008, their main focus is no longer anti-black, but anti-gay and anti-Muslim, a product, researchers say, of widespread propaganda by the religious right.

Anti-Muslim hate groups tripled from 10 to 30 in 2011, according to the Southern Poverty Law Center, which tracks extremism in the U.S.

“It is a completely artificial thing,” the centre’s senior fellow Mark Potok told ABC News. “That anti-Muslim wave is the work of propagandists and nothing more.” He blames not only religious extremists, but political “opportunists” for the spike in attitude.

Rising anti-Muslim resentment, along with the persistent “birther” movement, does shine a light on the forces behind seemingly puzzling trends in the U.S.

Their subtext is that Obama is an outsider, a foreigner, essentially un-American and anti-American — as in the Republican contention that he “apologizes” to Islamic countries for the U.S.’s behaviour and, in Benghazi (where a deadly assault on the U.S. Consulate killed an ambassador Chris Stevens and three other Americans), turned traitor to besieged American personnel.

If Obama wins the election, Potok says, the rhetoric, and rage, among hate groups could grow worse. “These groups are getting angrier and angrier. They’re looking at four (more) years under a black guy who they hate.”

For Obama, however, the white male voters’ drift to the Republican right may yet be less threatening than it seems. While their numbers have grown, those of black and Hispanic voters have also risen. If they turn out to support Obama with the same zeal as 2008, their vote could be the tipping point in 2012.

“Whatever scenario comes to pass,” says a Brookings Institution analysis, “minorities are going to matter. The new demography of the electorate guarantees it. If the white Republican base turns out in full force, the votes of African Americans and growing Hispanic populations will be necessary for Democratic wins in a slew of interior states with largely white electorates.

“The 2012 election will most assuredly be a battle of turnout and its outcome will greatly depend on the enthusiasm of minority voting blocks.”


TOPICS: Heated Discussion
KEYWORDS: certifigate; obamaracism; romney

The author

1 posted on 11/03/2012 9:09:16 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Ugly racist b!tch.


2 posted on 11/03/2012 9:12:18 PM PDT by mimaw
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Sorry lady the election is over and if they want to riot so be it

Obama the hater of 1% is going off to Hawaii to live in a 40 Million Dollar Beach House and we will be a better country

3 posted on 11/03/2012 9:13:39 PM PDT by scooby321 (AMS)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
You know, at this point I really don't care if it does. Many if not most of the 90%+ of Blacks are going to vote for Obama because he is black, so if you are another race and feel you can't vote for Obams solely because of his race, then vote your conscience. Sure I would rather you vote for Romney or against Obama based on the issues, but I certainly not going to condemn anyone for doing what many of his supporters are doing.
4 posted on 11/03/2012 9:17:05 PM PDT by apillar
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So a canadian libtard thinks she knows anything about us. HA.
Must be gettin’ hard for Oblahblah to find domestic outlets for this tripe.

Good grief. Why would have to discuss race when the record is a demonstrable failure. Economic (dollar crashing,no jobs) Law enforcement (fast and furious, election fraud) ME policy(arab uprisings, bengahzi, Israel,) Energy (pipeline, gulf oil, ANWR, insane coal regs) etc etc....

No the ONLY people playing race cards these days are mental midgets like this idiot and her ilk.


5 posted on 11/03/2012 9:20:38 PM PDT by ping jockey (Winning in 2012)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Judging from the photo. I’ll assume Obama has secured the Hag vote.


6 posted on 11/03/2012 9:24:42 PM PDT by BigCinBigD (...Was that okay?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So, if we thought obama was born in France would we be racists?

If we asked Romney for his birth certificate would we be racists?

I don’t care if I’m called a racist. I was called a racist when obama made his first speech after he was sworn in. So, since then I’ve accepted that I must be a racist.


7 posted on 11/03/2012 9:25:41 PM PDT by Terry Mross (To former friends and relatives. Don't ever contact me if you still support obama.)
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To: ping jockey

I’m from Kanadastan originally and whomever believes that canadians are friends of Americans are utterly stupid.

The canadian inferiority complex is alive and well, and when I head there for Christmas, all I hear about is how wonderful Odumbo is. In high school, we were all brainwashed to hate American history so this did not surprise me. I expect more stupidity from the land of imbeciles, Kanada when Odumbo goes down next week.


8 posted on 11/03/2012 9:27:35 PM PDT by max americana (Make the world a better place by punching a liberal in the face)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Hellooooo CANADA....

You got it all wrong....

We are throwing his sorry @$$ out...
...because he is a sorry preezy...
....who embraces sorry ideas

Like obamacare ( modeled after canuck-care)...

We are throwing him out in keeping with the finest American trradition of firing bad leaders....
.... Like Jimmah Cahtah... etc.

Don't get stuck on stoopey...

9 posted on 11/03/2012 9:27:59 PM PDT by Wings-n-Wind (The main things are the plain things!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It’s not that he’s black.
He’s a lazy, lying, piece of shit.


10 posted on 11/03/2012 9:34:51 PM PDT by Palio di Siena
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Next time put the picture first, so I won’t bother reading such twaddle.

Now I need to go find some eye bleach.


11 posted on 11/03/2012 9:35:39 PM PDT by Westbrook (Children do not divide your love, they multiply it.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Dayum...if she walked through a haunted house, she’d come out with a paycheck!


12 posted on 11/03/2012 9:35:39 PM PDT by TheBigB (I voted 4 Obama & all I got was this lousy t-shirt & 15 mins in the back of a Prius with Sandy Fluke)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

She so wants those riots so badly she can taste it.


13 posted on 11/03/2012 9:42:18 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

http://i.imgur.com/DEC9R.jpg


14 posted on 11/03/2012 9:55:43 PM PDT by wille777
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Looks like someone from our Worker’s Party.

Sounds like, too.


15 posted on 11/03/2012 10:22:55 PM PDT by Hardraade (http://junipersec.wordpress.com (I will fear no muslim))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

please. Why do these people survive? The welfare state allows people too stupid to take care of themselves to thrive. Taking the human race further down with them.


16 posted on 11/03/2012 10:25:39 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GeronL

Using their term, that’s unsustainable.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 10:28:21 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; FReepers; Patriots

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 6, 2012 TO BE EXACT.

PLEASE CONTRIBUTE TO FREE REPUBLIC TONIGHT!

18 posted on 11/03/2012 10:30:59 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Hardraade

What amuses me about members of these so-called “worker’s parties” is that most of them never have.


19 posted on 11/03/2012 10:31:09 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hehe. The woman this reminded me of is, in actual life, a bona fide washerwoman. Elected to parliament.

Doesn’t make her much sensible, though.


20 posted on 11/03/2012 10:37:13 PM PDT by Hardraade (http://junipersec.wordpress.com (I will fear no muslim))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; All

The O’bomber campaign is sending emails out like crazy.

The latest one, they want US to send them meaningful emails to forward. lol I did forward them something meaningful.

“...If you spot something that’s especially persuasive or inspiring, or if you want to share your own graphic, essay, or personal story, send it on to forwardthis@barackobama.com
(from email)


21 posted on 11/03/2012 10:42:15 PM PDT by machogirl (First they came for my tagline)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Another day, another charge of racism by a leftst. How tedious. BTW, Olivia, you just did me a favor by setting all my clocks back an hour.


22 posted on 11/03/2012 10:51:15 PM PDT by windsorknot
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To: ping jockey

hmm jimmy carter was white and that did save him from losing because of a failed economy.


23 posted on 11/04/2012 2:01:35 AM PST by annajones (Please Act)
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To: annajones

that did Not save him...


24 posted on 11/04/2012 2:06:19 AM PST by annajones (Please Act)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yes, the same white people who voted for Bronco Bama in 2008 because he was black will now vote for Romney because Bronco Bama is black. Yeah, that sure makes a lot of sense. (smirk)


25 posted on 11/04/2012 3:19:27 AM PST by driftless2
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To: apillar
You know, at this point I really don't care if it does. Many if not most of the 90%+ of Blacks are going to vote for Obama because he is black, so if you are another race and feel you can't vote for Obams solely because of his race, then vote your conscience. Sure I would rather you vote for Romney or against Obama based on the issues, but I certainly not going to condemn anyone for doing what many of his supporters are doing.

On the flip side, there are still a lot who have opened their eyes and will breathe in the fresh air of Freedom when they vote against Zero this time. Having opened their eyes, they have been paying some attention to the "liberal" vs. conservative way of doing things and will have some small influence over their friends and families over the next few years. Just as you can subvert someone from the inside, so can you free them from the bonds of slavery.

26 posted on 11/04/2012 4:21:08 AM PST by trebb (Allies no longer trust us. Enemies no longer fear us.)
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To: apillar
I can examine my conscience and honestly say I have never thought wrong, intended wrong, spoken wrong or done wrong to anybody on account of their race, color, or national origin.

If that's not enough to acquit me on a charge of racism, there's something very wrong with the definition.

27 posted on 11/04/2012 7:15:00 AM PST by Mrs. Don-o (Stone cold sober, as a matter of fact.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Obama had little if any early blackness. He was raised by radical left WHITE grandparents, with occasional visits from his promiscious WHITE mother, who obviously preferred muslim black men. He was not influenced by race but by radical social ideals, his darker skin became convenient when he entered US politics. So who is the real racist?


28 posted on 11/04/2012 7:31:07 AM PST by Toespi
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