Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Nate Silver: 79 percent chance Clinton wins
Politico ^ | 6/29/2016 | Nolan D. McCaskill

Posted on 06/29/2016 10:05:44 AM PDT by orchestra

Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.

FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office.

“Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Local News
KEYWORDS: hillary2016; lol; natesilver; predictions
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-68 next last
Nate Silver is such a fine prognosticator. FAIL!
1 posted on 06/29/2016 10:05:44 AM PDT by orchestra
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: orchestra

Lil Natey is so cute when he tries to act relevant.


2 posted on 06/29/2016 10:07:04 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

Oooh 79%, not 80%!? He must really know what he’s talking about!”.......BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA LOSER!


3 posted on 06/29/2016 10:07:05 AM PDT by uncitizen (Gloves OFF! Go Trump!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

I think he forgot the decimal point. I thin what he really means is 0.79%


4 posted on 06/29/2016 10:07:30 AM PDT by seawolf101 (This)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

Oh Nate, go away...your as bad as Karl Rove, you haven’t ever called anything right yet...

Trump is going to landslide into the Oval Office, so go pick your nose for a while...


5 posted on 06/29/2016 10:07:58 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

Nate is going to be eating massive crow once again over him being horribly off about Trump.


6 posted on 06/29/2016 10:08:32 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra
Oh Noes! TID! Trump is done!

7 posted on 06/29/2016 10:08:32 AM PDT by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR!e)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

Isn’t this the same guy who said Trump had only a 5% chance of winning the Republican nomination?


8 posted on 06/29/2016 10:08:49 AM PDT by circlecity
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

I thought he was one of the most accurate overall? No one gets every poll right, but what is his overall average I wonder...


9 posted on 06/29/2016 10:09:46 AM PDT by wyowolf (Be ware when the preachers take over the Republican party...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

Nate Silver has been wrong about Donald Trump 100% of the time!


10 posted on 06/29/2016 10:11:29 AM PDT by zerosix (native sunflower)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra
“Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,”

Wrong. The season just ended and the conventions are the playoffs. The Super Bowl hasn't even started yet.

-PJ

11 posted on 06/29/2016 10:12:15 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

12 posted on 06/29/2016 10:12:42 AM PDT by JPG (Go Trump!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: HarleyLady27

Back in July there was an FR poster who told me Silver was better than sliced bread. I haven’t seen much of him lately. LoL.

Finally that idgit Silver got expose as a crackpot.


13 posted on 06/29/2016 10:12:45 AM PDT by Red Steel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: orchestra
7 Times Nate Silver Was Hilariously Wrong About Donald Trump
14 posted on 06/29/2016 10:13:02 AM PDT by Jed Eckert (The government solution to a problem is usually as bad as the problem)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Red Steel

ROFL...now we know why....


15 posted on 06/29/2016 10:13:56 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

But there is a 100% chance that Nate Silver is a moron.


16 posted on 06/29/2016 10:14:52 AM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

Let’s all vote for Hillary so we can say we were on the winning side.

Our nation will be given the second flush of the toilet (necessary now due to tank size mandates from the central socialist government) with Hillary doing the honors.


17 posted on 06/29/2016 10:15:04 AM PDT by HomerBohn (Liberals and Slinkys: Good for nothing but make you smile as you shove them down the stairs.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

The 2016 election could come down to North Carolina and Silver was dead wrong about North Carolina in 2008. He picked McCain to win the state, but he lost.

Knowing Silver got North Catolina wrong in 2008, his 2016 forecast is meaningless.


18 posted on 06/29/2016 10:16:50 AM PDT by Timpanagos1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: orchestra

All of these news reports of doing poorly in polls is to fuel the NeverTrump “Free the Delegates” BS.


19 posted on 06/29/2016 10:17:05 AM PDT by ObozoMustGo2012 (q15.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: uncitizen

Carter was 25pts ahead of Reagan in March, 1980 and a good 8-10pts ahead in June. REagan ended up with 51% with a third party candidate in the race.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/03/flashback-reagan-trailed-carter-58-to-33-in-march-1980/


20 posted on 06/29/2016 10:18:53 AM PDT by nikos1121 (I)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-68 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson