Posted on 06/29/2016 10:05:44 AM PDT by orchestra
The clown is so relevant he’s on BSPN all the time. Absolute fail on his predictions last election. I could go to my bookie and he makes better predictions.
The lil lefty asshole got lucky back in 2014 so he’s now an ‘expert’ LOL
Boy, did Rush take this guy to the cleaners today!
How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/
Apparently he’s a very meticulous political commentator.
If there is a 20 percent chance of rain, I’ll bring an umbrella.
“The clown is so relevant he’s on BSPN all the time.” - That is because he does sporting predictions primarily....
“Absolute fail on his predictions last election.” - Which one? The 2012 Presidential Election where his prediction was 100%? Every state he said someone would win, they did? Where he said Obama would be the President again?
Or the 2008 election? Where he predicted 49 states correctly. The one he missed was Indiana which Obama won by .1%. Again, he predicted Obama would be President.
Realize, he isn’t a magician. He has built analytical software that makes the predictions. Over time, it has gotten better. He is essentially a software engineer. He doesn’t make many of these predictions on his own.
Another elitist that just doesn’t get DJT. Just like all those blubbering EU stuffed shirts didn’t get it. Hopefully they will all “get it” in the end.
Some “expert” yesterday was claiming food prices could go up 395%. The radio guy said “395%? How does he know food won’t go up 400%?” It’s so ridiculous that they think we are this stupid.
Nate’s reputation will be shot after election
Silver’s election forecast about Trump was 100% wrong everytime in the last year. I watched him closely this year since an anti-Trumper told me he was better than sliced bread. Silver usually tried to ignore Trump hoping he would go away.
He’s not all that great not at all. Anyone could do what he does if one pays attention. He’d make his final primary predictions only a few hours before a vote after a slew of polls came in making it easy to predict.
The liberal media and their pollsters have now made a pivot being all-in for Hillary that was not seen as much in the Republican primary elections where their liberal bias was down a few pegs. With the media polls in the general election being skewed and slanted against Trump as I routinely see looking at the internals when it is possible. Little liberal Natey is going to get it wrong again about Tump and a lot wrong.
Is North Catolina a new state? :)
Were you more accurate than he was in the last two Presidential elections?
Primaries are a lot harder to predict, more variables at work. By the time of the general election, a lot of those variables will have been removed.
That is why the organizations that fight against voter fraud got their work cut out for them.
79% chance the check from the Clinton campaign clears
I agree with almost everything you said. The part where you mention that “anyone could do what he does if one pays attention” is a sticking point. I totally disagree. If I had the skill to predict NBA, NFL, Golf, NASCAR, etc, I would be a very rich man. There are a lot of analytics that go into it. Far more than just paying attention.
The one point about this guy was, he stepped away from analytics and used his dislike of trump to help make predictions. Didn’t work. He wrote a pretty analytic heavy case study based on his mistakes. It’s a pretty good read if you can get through it. Basically, he did what a lot of people did, assumed too much.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/
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