Final ARG NH Tracking Poll (Trump 33, Kasich 17, Rubio 14, Cruz 10, Jeb 9)

ARG ^ | 2/8/2016 | ARG

[usafa92]

No article just the link

[usafa92]

A few interesting things in this poll. ARG and UMass/Lowell are the only 2 tracking polls and both are in alignment on Trump, Rubio, Jeb and to some extent Cruz who is higher in the UMass poll. This is a full post debate poll and Rubio's numbers are ugly. Tanked 3 points since debate which is roughly 25% of his support. It appears to have gone to Kasich. Trump is up 3 pts or about 10% since the debate. Cruz is level since debate but down 15% post Iowa. The real outlier is Jeb. He has 9 here and has been static forever. He was at 7% here in December. He's at 18 in Emerson which was one of the more accurate Iowa pollsters. Generally speaking, ARG is not great, but they are a NH firm and if they should do anything well it should be NH. So the tracking polls align Trump, the point in time polls are a little more erratic. However, both tracking polls are picking up major Rubio slides. I think Trump wins substantially and 2nd place is a scrum.

[usafa92]

Trump NH poll ping.

[DoughtyOne]

[Daniel Ramsey]

Dixville Notch votes in just a couple of hours.

[Duchess47]

Thanks for the ping.

[Jane Long]

Thanks for the excellent news ping :)

[entropy12]

As always, Ping is much appreciated.

[Parley Baer]

Wow! Cruz has dropped to 4th place just one point ahead of Jeb. I bet by tomorrow Jeb will be ahead of Ted. So sad what cheating will do when you are caught red handed.

[Helicondelta]

I’m rooting for the mailman to finish second.

He seems to be benefiting from the crossfire among all the other candidates.

[Gator113]

I like those numbers. The only change I would prefer is seeing Cruz in 3rd place instead of Rubio.

~~Go Trump Go~~

[entropy12]

This stands out for me...

———— Republicans (59%)-——Undeclared (41%)
Trump——32%-——————————34%

[Milhous]

This ain't my first rodeo. It will not surprise me in the least if Yeb wins.

Now for some comic relief:

Jeb Bush: says 'Hell yeah!' when asked if he'd go back in time to kill baby Adolf Hitler

[Maelstorm]

Emerson Poll released today shows Bush with 16% but Kasich, Rubio, and Cruz are within the margin of error. The numbers for Trump are really stable he’s anywhere from 11 to 21 points ahead. Ground game isn’t going to win this one for anyone. If anyone gets within 10 points of Trump it will be a big night for them.

[HarleyLady27]

Thank you so much for the ping!!!

I know I have said this many times before, but if we don’t have Trump as President, our country is going to be over run with worse illegals than we already have, and the rest of our freedoms will be taken away or stripped even more than they are...we will have nothing for health care, our Vets and Wounded Warriors won’t be taken care of...nothing good for America if Trump isn’t President...

So, when you read the lying media posts that are on here and with people backing up the lies, stop and think, ‘Who will make America great again?’ and then the answer will come to you and you’ll understand why we have to fight to support our candidate Trump!!!

GO.TRUMP.GO....ALL THE WAY TO THE OVAL OFFICE!!!

[SteveSCH]

Folks, if this is how NH shakes out it means we have complete chaos coming into SC.

Complete chaos.

[nopardons]

Love Dixsville Notch and they vote at 12:01 A.M. EST !

[SamAdams76]

[Gator113]

Whether Cruz actually cheated or not, the public perception seems to be that he did.

Perception becomes reality.....this bad of a loss is going to haunt him to the end.

[WENDLE]

This is risky but I am going to assure at least a 5% point victory for Trump. Now, We need to get Cruz in second place and wipe out Ksick. This means that some of us must go to Cruz. This will be hard but smart. Yes , the Cruz campaign made mistakes in Iowa and cost Trump the victory but our first enemy is the GOPe. Unless we wipe them out — we can’t whip hillary , the criminal ( or some other commie) . So , follow me here. Some of us must go fight for Cruz tomorrow. . Cruz is NOT ESTABLISHMENT. They hate him worse than Donald!!. Let’s make Trump #1 and Cruz # 2 !! We have the votes to do it.

[Duchess47]

You have got to be joking.