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Trump still strong, Cruz with no bump, Rubio with a modest 2 point bump. He will continue to be a problem this race. I am a Trump guy, but Cruz really needs to keep Rubio in 3rd otherwise the media is going to get carried away just long enough to pump Rubio some more.
1 posted on 02/03/2016 4:13:22 AM PST by usafa92
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To: usafa92

If Rubio pushes his was to 2nd place finish, the press will be in full gush mode. Mini Me will be the new savior of the GOPe.


2 posted on 02/03/2016 4:19:22 AM PST by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
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To: usafa92

Based on some of the pre IA polls for IA, I’d say something was off. Maybe the media, campaign hype or because they let ‘newcomers’ register right before voting, IIRC.

Perhaps polling for NH is more accurate. Perhaps NH actually has more stringent requirements for voting ‘residents’. Maybe the shakeout in IA will have an influence.

I’ll guess we’ll find out next Tuesday. Good luck to Trump and Cruz. Rubio can just go away.


3 posted on 02/03/2016 4:22:09 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: usafa92

that’s why i’ll ever understand so many posts hoping for Cruz to fall to third by Trump people.

Makes no sense.

Would they rather have ANY chance of rubio being president.

but that lead is monstrous. he will walk away with it, trump that is.

I like Cruz but i’m a realist.


4 posted on 02/03/2016 4:23:48 AM PST by dp0622 (I)
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To: usafa92

Rubio is a real threat.

But if he goes after Cruz, I wont care a lick to be honest.

But good for Trump. NH is a different animal compared to that other goofy state, and its podunk voting process. People can’t pull dirty tricks during the voting.


5 posted on 02/03/2016 4:24:50 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: usafa92

So: the evangelical rubes in Iowa gave the win to a constitutional conservative, and a big boost to a tea party guy trying to overcome his gang of eight mistake. Meanwhile, “sophisticated” New Englanders will still go for the potty-mouth carnival barker who offers them the simple solution of a man on the white horse.


6 posted on 02/03/2016 4:28:15 AM PST by sphinx
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To: usafa92
Problem for Trump is the the 3 lowest tier candidates --Bush--Kasich--Christie

They drop out it seems logical their votes would go to Rubio a gain of 22%
8 posted on 02/03/2016 4:28:58 AM PST by uncbob
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To: usafa92

Trump will only get stronger, i have way more respect for his decisions, his method of campaign spending, his goals.


14 posted on 02/03/2016 4:41:35 AM PST by Daniel Ramsey
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To: usafa92

Jeb will have to unleash his superpac on Rubio. He skipped Iowa, but if he finishes behind Rubio in New Hampshire he’s done.


20 posted on 02/03/2016 4:44:50 AM PST by Helicondelta
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To: usafa92

I will say this: I think Trump will win NH. But as of now polls seem to be worthless.

However, those same worthless polls can no longer be used to justify claims of Trump’s “high negatives” or that “Cruz beats Cankles . . . But Trump can’t” . . . Cause those are all poll results.


27 posted on 02/03/2016 4:48:39 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: usafa92
re: Cruz

I'm still a New Englander at heart, and for most of us there are some things that we like kept private. I'm wondering if the line Cruz crossed with "ShameGate" will hurt him more in New England than it did in Iowa. Also wonder if the "NY values" stuff and the religiously-oriented victory speech work outside of Iowa and similar environments.

I'm 100% Trump. Four years of a Trump presidency and the DC swamp can start getting cleaned up. Don't know how else that can happen.

33 posted on 02/03/2016 5:03:30 AM PST by grania
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To: usafa92
If Trump was convinced he had first place in the bag in IA based on the public polls, then he had a rude awakening. He is also a quick study; will make adjustments, and proceed full steam ahead.
34 posted on 02/03/2016 5:12:42 AM PST by JPG (What's the difference between the Rats and the GOPe? Nothing.)
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To: usafa92

Trump should win NH easy, but I am afraid Cruz will drop to 3rd behind Rubio with the help of all the media hype.

The polls to watch at this point at in Florida.. if Rubio starts to surge in Florida... all bets are off and this will be an epic struggle all the way to the convention.


36 posted on 02/03/2016 5:20:50 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, R)
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To: usafa92
Three former governors, Jeb Bush of Texas at 9% (no change), John Kasich of Ohio at 7% (-2%) and Chris Christie at 6% (+1% change).

"Jeb Bush of Texas"??

As a Texan...*shudder*

(I do realize he was born here, but we don't claim him!)

40 posted on 02/03/2016 5:41:20 AM PST by Zeppelin (Keep on FReepin' on...)
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To: usafa92
Eh, don't read too much into it yet
The Iowa Bounce

This tracking poll was conducted from Sunday-Tuesday of this week. Because of that, only one of three days of data occurred after Iowa. Today provides a preliminary assessment of the Iowa bounce, which appears to be +2 net for Rubio and +4 net for Clinton. However, we hasten to add that these changes are well within the margin of error and might simply be an artifact of random sampling error. A more complete picture of the Iowa bounce will appear in tomorrow's release and the first completely post-Iowa poll will be released on Friday, Feb. 6.


47 posted on 02/03/2016 6:03:18 AM PST by kevkrom (I'm not an unreasonable man... well, actually, I am. But hear me out anyway.)
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To: usafa92

Looking good for The Donald!


48 posted on 02/03/2016 6:05:12 AM PST by Proudcongal
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To: usafa92

Iowa’s caucus system is fraught with dishonesty, corruption and intimidation as Canuck Cruz and Clinton demonstrated.

It does NOT represent a secret ballot system.

The caucus system is akin to having political speeches & announcements at a normal polling booth...or Black Panthers “patrolling” the voting booths.

If Iowa uses the normal polling booth during the general election and not allow political speeches during the voting process, why not during the primary.


51 posted on 02/03/2016 6:11:27 AM PST by newfreep (TRUMP & <S>Cruz</S> 2016 - "Evil succeeds when good men do nothing" - Edmund Burke)
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To: usafa92

I really think Rubio will surpass Cruz here.

I am going to go out on a limb and say that Trump will win, but the margin is going to be so low as to be a “loss.”

Trump has fans. I do not think it will translate into votes.

Just a feeling after seeing him not perform as well as many expected in Iowa (for example, not having people on the ground to speak for him in each precinct.)


57 posted on 02/03/2016 6:59:05 AM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: usafa92
Wed Feb 3 2016
I never planned on voting for Chris Christi, but after reading this, I sure won't now.

[Excerpt]

2008: When serving as U.S. attorney for New Jersey, Christie embraced and kissed Mohammed Qatanani, imam of the Islamic Center of Passaic County, and praised him as "a man of great goodwill." He did this after Qatanani had publicly ranted against Jews and in support of funding Hamas, a U.S. government-designated terror organization, and on the eve of his deportation hearing for not hiding an Israeli conviction for membership in Hamas.
In addition, Christie designated a top aide, Assistant U.S. Attorney Charles McKenna, to testify as a character witness for Qatanani.

2010: After Derek Fenton burned three pages of a Koran at a 9/11 memorial ceremony, his employer, New Jersey Transit, got Christie's approval to fire him. Protecting Islam at the expense of the constitutional right to free speech, Christie endorsed Fenton's termination: "That kind of intolerance is something I think is unacceptable. So I don't have any problem with him being fired." The American Civil Liberties Union successfully represented Fenton to get his job back.

2011: Christie appointed an Islamist, Sohail Mohammed, to the New Jersey state superior court. Mohammed's record includes serving as general counsel to the American Muslim Union (which has stated that a "Zionist Commando Orchestrated The 9-11 Terrorist Attacks"), acting as spokesman for Muslim prisoners who went on a hunger strike after being jailed during Ramadan, defending Palestinian Islamic Jihad operative Sami Al-Arian (his indictment, Mohammed said, was "nothing but a witch-hunt"), and helping Qatanani's legal defense.

Mohammed established himself not just as the Islamists' lawyer but as one of them. When members of New Jersey's Senate Judiciary Committee asked Mohammed appropriately tough questions about his enthusiasm for Islam's archaic law code, the Shari'a, Christie ridiculed the lawmakers: "Shari'a law has nothing to do with this [appointment of Mohammed] at all. It's crazy. It's crazy.

. . . So, this Shari'a law business is crap. It's just crazy. And I'm tired of dealing with the crazies. I mean, you know, it's just unnecessary to be accusing this guy of things just because of his religious background." For this outburst, unsurprisingly, the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) thanked and applauded Christie.

2012: The revelation that the New York Police Department had conducted surveillance of Islamists in the New Jersey towns of Newark and New Brunswick prompted not gratitude but outrage from Christie, who termed the action arrogant and paranoid while mocking NYPD Commissioner Raymond Kelly as "all knowing, all seeing."

In short, Christie has hugged a terrorist-organization member, abridged free-speech rights, scorned concern over Islamization, and opposed law-enforcement counter terrorism efforts.

Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/article/297322/chris-christies-islam-problem-daniel-pipes-steve-emerson

58 posted on 02/03/2016 7:12:36 AM PST by Mr Apple ( CHRISTI SUPPORTS TOWEL HEADS?)
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To: usafa92

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/297322/chris-christies-islam-problem-daniel-pipes-steve-emerson


59 posted on 02/03/2016 7:12:49 AM PST by Mr Apple ( CHRISTI SUPPORTS TOWEL HEADS?)
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To: usafa92

Three former governors, Jeb Bush of Texas at 9%...
**************************
Article lost me right there. JEB is a native born Texan, but has never been a Texas Gov.


62 posted on 02/03/2016 8:05:18 AM PST by octex
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