Posted on 04/18/2015 9:26:05 AM PDT by The Louiswu
Looking over past threads and several articles I about the stock market I was wondering if anyone has any definite information on when the next stock market crash would come and how bad will it be?
What time zone?
Never as long as we have ZIRP policy in place by The Fed, see there will be no rate increase in June despite all the ink wasted by those in the know that said there would be.
What year?
Central, definitely.
October 29, 2015 @ 1600 hrs.
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5.56mm
Best reply on the thread.....and so succinct!
But most money today is in the form of electronic bits and bytes. As bonds collapse and the stock market correction finishes, that money will flow into stocks. By 2020, the Dow will be around 40,000. The general economy will be worse than the Great Depression, but thanks to excess liquidity, Wall Street will be handing out free money between 2016 and 2020 via the stock market. Gold will catch a bid, but most of that electronic money will flow into paper gold, not physical gold.
Then in 2020, Armstrong believes that stocks will finally collapse in the usual parabolic move higher. That will set off revolution, and by 2032 there will be a general understanding worldwide that humans are not capable of ruling themselves. We will enter a new era of feudalism and worldwide corporate fascism.
I'll be dead by then -- I hope.
This is the prototype crash. Everything true of today’s crashes was true here and easier to understand.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania
There’s a story about Joe Kennedy, patriarch of the Kennedy clan and then a Wall Street tycoon. Everybody knew there was a stock bubble. But nobody knew when it would burst. By 1929 it had gone on for so long nobody paid much attention to the dire warnings anymore. One day he left his office and on the way down to the street overheard a shoeshine boy tell somebody that he’d just bought a share of Hup Motor company. Joe immediately returned to his office and sold everything he owned. Two weeks later the bottom dropped out. When asked he said, “I knew that if shoeshine boys were buying stock that the bubble had burst.”
The economy, far from overheating, is just puttering along creating no new jobs. The boom in shale has cooled due to oil prices coming down. The housing market is basically dead in the water.
If we get a Cruz or a Walker in 2016, watch for the economy and the market to take off as Obamanomics are unwound.
I hope it keeps going up or at least stays sideways. When it crashes all the money that has been flowing from the Fed into buying equities will flood out to the rest to the economy, the part where we live. Prices in general will start going up rapidly.
with the market at an all time high a correction can come at any time. world events could cause a crash at any time. if one is in the stock market then they are usually long term investors and need to be willing to ride these events out. If someone needs the money within 5 years they should not invest in the stock market.
look at a long term chart of the S&P 500 (click “maximum”)
http://quotes.morningstar.com/indexquote/quote.html?t=0P00001G7J
what a stunning rise. with bond interest rates so slow and certain stock dividends paying so nicely there is almost nowhere else for money to go. It cant go on forever but those who predicted it would crash years ago were proven wrong. no human knows these things.
In 2016, sometime in that last few days before the election and when both the House and Congress are in session, A black swan event will happen, decimating the U.S legislation and giving Obama the pretext to cancel the elections and continue on as President.
The above is speculative fictional thinking for entertainment purposes only.
No way. I have the crash starting at 2:48 pm.
Sometime before you predict it to be and several times worse than anyone expected.
Yes as long as the feds keep pumping the market will keep soaring.
A true investor should not worry about a "crash" because he will use the "buy and hold" strategy.
Invest in solid companies and hold for the long term. Ride the inevitable ups and downs. I've been investing since 1982 and only sold stocks once in the 33 years since. I don't try to time markets and I don't try to avoid crashes. I rode out the 1987 crash and the 2000 dot-com crash with no ill effects at all.
So what if the market crashes. If you don't sell, you don't lock in your losses and so long as you invested in solid companies, you can ride them back up.
3rd or 4th quarter.
Trouble will become great in August with the NWO harvesting the market late September.
My watch must be wrong.
Any day from now.
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