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Ooops. NASA now “38% sure” 2014 was warmest year on record
Hotair ^ | 01/18/2015 | Jazz Shaw

Posted on 01/18/2015 11:40:18 AM PST by SeekAndFind

We were recently informed by the blaring of progressive trumpets and flapping of angelic wings that evil energy users had set a new record, with 2014 being the warmest year in recorded history. The end is clearly near, so you should all begin getting your affairs in order unless President Obama can rail through his new methane regulations. It is, as Mother Jones described it, a moment of truth. Well folks, what can I say? We had a good run.

But wait! The phrase “moment of truth” ends with a rather important word. How “true” is this claim? The folks at NASA who declared the doomsday scenario have rather sheepishly admitted that under further scrutiny, they’re at least 38% sure it might have been true.

The Nasa climate scientists who claimed 2014 set a new record for global warmth last night admitted they were only 38 per cent sure this was true…

The claim made headlines around the world, but yesterday it emerged that GISS’s analysis – based on readings from more than 3,000 measuring stations worldwide – is subject to a margin of error. Nasa admits this means it is far from certain that 2014 set a record at all.

Yet the Nasa press release failed to mention this, as well as the fact that the alleged ‘record’ amounted to an increase over 2010, the previous ‘warmest year’, of just two-hundredths of a degree – or 0.02C. The margin of error is said by scientists to be approximately 0.1C – several times as much.

What’s worse, as you read through the experts’ detailed explanation, is that even if they are correct and it was the warmest year on record, it beat the old mark by .01 degree centigrade. That’s one one hundredth of a degree. (With a margin of error a full order of magnitude larger.) Taking that margin into account, they go on to admit that the other two years in contention – 2005 and 2010 – are all so close that they don’t know which of the three is actually the warmest.

This ties into the other side of the story which never seems to make its way onto the pages of Mother Jones or in the CNN chyrons. If you are having trouble figuring out which of the years in the past fifteen or twenty is hotter or cooler, it’s because the planet has stubbornly refused to continue warming since the mid 90s, to the great dismay of the green warriors. And we’ve known this for a couple of years now.

Remember that really scary “hockey stick” graph IPCC used to show that rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations would send global temperatures soaring? And recall all the ballyhoo about CO2 levels reaching a 400 ppm record high? Yet last February even IPCC’s chairman Rajenda Pachuri has admitted that world temperature data has been flat for the past 17 years. And that was after the British media reported that the UK Met Office was projecting a 20-year standstill in global warming by 2017.

It must be because we’ve already done such a bang up job of curbing emissions around the globe and need to do more of the same, right?

“The rise in the surface temperature of Earth has been markedly slower over the last 15 years than in the 20 years before that. And that lull in warming has occurred even as greenhouse gases have accumulated in the atmosphere at a record pace.”

There should be a blaring siren and massive retraction in the New York Times any… day… now.


TOPICS: Science; Society; Weather
KEYWORDS: climatechange; climateliars; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; hoax; nasa; noaa
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1 posted on 01/18/2015 11:40:18 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

37.5%


2 posted on 01/18/2015 11:41:49 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (Malort, turning taste-buds into taste-foes for generations.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

That’s something to hang your hat on.


3 posted on 01/18/2015 11:42:45 AM PST by jimfree (In November 2016 my 14 y/o granddaughter will have more quality exec experience than Barack Obama)
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To: SeekAndFind

OK!! Everybody pay attention!

Lesson for today:

1. The sun is 1,300,000 times as big as the earth.

2. The sun is a ball of fire that controls the climates of all its planets.

3. The earth is one of the sun’s planets.

4. The earth is a speck in comparison to the size of the sun.

5. Inhabitants of the earth are less than specks.

Study Question: How do less-than-specks in congress plan to control the sun?


4 posted on 01/18/2015 11:48:41 AM PST by abclily
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To: SeekAndFind

Ted Cruz is in charge of the subcommittee that oversees NASA. Have him hold hearings to explain how these numbers were arrived at. If it hold no scientific credibility, punish them with budget cuts.


5 posted on 01/18/2015 11:57:41 AM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: abclily

>>Study Question: How do less-than-specks in congress plan to control the sun?<<

I repeat the democrat party answer: they will do it at night.


6 posted on 01/18/2015 11:58:59 AM PST by freedumb2003 (AGW: Settled Science? If so, there would only be one model and it would agree with measurements)
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To: SeekAndFind

Less than a tossup.


7 posted on 01/18/2015 11:59:22 AM PST by Starstruck (If my reply offends, you probably don't understand sarcasm or criticism...or do.)
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To: SeekAndFind
NASA, NOAA and Obama got their headline—2014 HOTTEST ON RECORD!—now ingrained on the public consciousness. Smoke and mirrors.
8 posted on 01/18/2015 12:01:02 PM PST by Brad from Tennessee (A politician can't give you anything he hasn't first stolen from you.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The satellite temperature data says it wasn’t so the satellites were accused of being climate change-deniers and not to be listened to.


9 posted on 01/18/2015 12:04:36 PM PST by Starstruck (If my reply offends, you probably don't understand sarcasm or criticism...or do.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I am 100% sure this entire thing was a hoax cooked up the moneymakers of global schwarming


10 posted on 01/18/2015 12:06:43 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: ClearCase_guy

So they are 62.5% sure it WAS NOT the warmest.


11 posted on 01/18/2015 12:08:40 PM PST by Never on my watch (Jeesh!)
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To: SeekAndFind
38%?!? Technically speaking:

The sooner that Cruz straightens things out the better.

12 posted on 01/18/2015 12:10:05 PM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: SeekAndFind
There should be a blaring siren and massive retraction in the New York Times any… day… now. .

And there you are folks. NASA issues a big eagerly awaited report that supports the Anthropomorphic Global Warming theory and then admits that their report was in error.

They lie, the lie gets huge coverage in the press, the greater public accepts this lie because it agrees with everything that they have been told for years (and it is apoplectic). They then after the lie is exposed issue a statement that says; sorry about the error it was an honest mistake.

The original report is published with huge head lines, the retraction is on page 5 below the fold.

This has become formulaic. Publish a huge lie then recant. The lie is what the the public sees and remembers. The retraction is quickly off the press's radar and the lie goes on. Often the lie is restated by the loyal believers in the press as truth.

NASA will get to keep its scientific integrity because they fessed up but their lie will live on in-spite of the fact that it was exposed, tainting the public discourse on the climate for years to come.

13 posted on 01/18/2015 12:30:29 PM PST by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit.)
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To: SeekAndFind
so they are 38% sure that it's 0.07F warmer... is that it??? that's not even out of the noise level in the system.
14 posted on 01/18/2015 12:38:27 PM PST by Chode (Stand UP and Be Counted, or line up and be numbered - *DTOM* -w- NO Pity for the LAZY - 86-44)
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To: jimfree
Obola's appointee is now officially the worst NASA director to date.

Didn't have high hopes for him when he took the job knowing that muzzie outreach was the priority, and he didn't disappoint.

15 posted on 01/18/2015 12:38:43 PM PST by Calvin Locke
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To: SeekAndFind

So there’s a 62% chance that they are lying their asses off again?


16 posted on 01/18/2015 12:41:52 PM PST by Farmer Dean (stop worrying about what they want to do to you,start thinking about what you want to do to them)
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To: SeekAndFind

It is 0% true. Pure propaganda.

This winter is going to continue to be cold. The summer will be cool. The following winters are going to be brutally cold. Why? That big burning ball of thermonuclear fire in the sky is entering/has entered a dormant period, as in less sunspots and lower magnetic activity. That leads to more clouds and cooler weather. In fact, we may be entering a mini ice age.

So again, the claim is pure propaganda.


17 posted on 01/18/2015 1:04:00 PM PST by piytar (If you don't know what taqiyya and the doctrine of abrogation are, you are a fool!)
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To: ClearCase_guy

You can get better odds at Vegas. We should not be perverting NASA with pie in the sky theories from moronic socialists. All we need from NASA are satellite images of the remains from the last major glacial advance. Images from space of the Great Lakes showing their ice coverage. They show that 2014 was one of the top 5 coldest of the satellite era.


18 posted on 01/18/2015 1:07:27 PM PST by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ted Cruz has oversight of NASA now.


19 posted on 01/18/2015 1:07:39 PM PST by Zuben Elgenubi (NOPe to GOPe)
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To: Vince Ferrer

Talk about a distraction... we need Ted to keep ON POINT with issues concerning the collapse of our constitutional republic. I see his appointment as an establishment GOP diversion.


20 posted on 01/18/2015 1:11:44 PM PST by Rodamala
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