Posted on 06/27/2016 9:15:56 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
Embedded in a lengthy article appearing in Politico Magazine that clearly laid out the deep trouble Hillary Clinton is in as she tries to win over voters in Pennsylvania, was a warning that it is Donald Trump who is in trouble in the Keystone State.
Not surprisingly “these warning words of wisdom” came from the director for the Center of Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, who said, “There just aren’t enough rural voters to put him over the top. In this state, a Republican has got to appeal to moderate Republicans and Republican voters in the southeast part of the state, who are mostly educated and mostly affluent. And I don’t know that we’re seeing that sort of appeal from Trump.” Would we expect any other sort of analysis from a college faculty member?
He pointed out Barack Obama won Pennsylvania while carrying just 12 of the State’s 67 counties implying Trump couldn’t do better than the hapless Mitt Romney. Had he paid attention to the survey done in Luzerne County Pennsylvania showing that Trump is leading by 17 points he might have rethought his statement. But of course that wouldn’t fit his preconceived narrative of protecting the Democrat.
In the last three presidential elections, Luzerne has tracked very closely to the overall statewide vote. Luzerne’s vote was a virtual mirror of the state as a whole. The average differential between Luzerne’s vote and the statewide numbers over this period has been approximately one percentage point. As Luzerne votes, so goes Pennsylvania.
More than this, a dispassionate review of the numbers shows more math problems...
(Excerpt) Read more at thecoachsteam.com ...
If Trump doesn’t win PA it will be over early election night.
Fingers crossed.
Thank you for that information.
I am a native Marylander, but I had forbearers who settled in Luzerne County, Pennsyvania, and, in doing ancestry research, I have come across the place name Wyoming. Kept meaning to — but forgetting to — look it up since it clearly was there before the state of Wyoming.
Thank you. We seem to keep loosing our English skills, don’t we?
“Cruz, Bernie, and Clinton signs were everywhere during the primary. I did not see a single Trump sign.”
I’m in Leon County, Florida, home to the capital, Tallahassee. There hasn’t been a Republican in office here since Reconstruction. I’ve been keeping an eye out for signs. I see a Bernie sign on about one in ten cars. I have seen a Trump sign about five times; never on a car, always along the road. I have yet to see a single Hillary sign. Wakulla county, to the south and rural, seems evenly split between Bernie and Trump. Again, no Hillary signs.
Maybe you’re in for a big change. I hope so anyway!
Every once in a while I venture out toward rural Lancaster, PA. Nice to see the giant Trump yard signs and Hillary for Prison bumper stickers. haha
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