Posted on 11/01/2012 7:40:15 AM PDT by PJ-Comix
Nate Silver is just $10 away from predicting that Obama has an 82.7% chance of winning!
Perhaps the most laughable aspect of this election season is the way the DUmmies have embraced the PRECISE prognostications of one Nate Silver. Silver's shtick isn't to merely announce poll results that are artificially weighted in favor of Democrats. Any run of the mill leftwing pollster, such as PPP, can do that. Silver takes it to the next level in which he dramatically announced to the exact decimal point the chances that Obama has of winning. As of Halloween, Silver has declared that Obama has exactly a 77.4% chance of winning. Not 77.3% or 77.5% chance but precisely 77.4%. Such precision must be completely scientific...or so the DUmmies believe which is why they continue to cling to their Nate Silver security blanket so fervently to block out any contrary polling data such as from Gallup or Rasmussen (which they embraced until they didn't like his results). If you check out DUmmieland you will see thread after thread in which the DUmmies continue to cite Nate Silver's precise prognostications as if it were Holy Writ. However, let us take a look at this recent Nate Silver Security Blanket THREAD, "Nate Silver has Obama up." A psychological benefit for the DUmmies is that even if Obama loses they can cry vote fraud because Nate Silver declared he had a 77.4% chance of winning. So let us now watch the DUmmies cling to their Nate Silver security blanket in Bolshevik Red while the commentary of your humble correspondent, wondering if Bob Menendez requesting FEMA(le) aid, has changed that calculation to 77.3%, is in the [barackets]:
Nate Silver has Obama up
[And Dominican chicks also had Bob Menendez up.]
299 EV
77.4% Chance of winning
[There is a 77.4% chance of DUmmies already popping open their Freudenschade victory champagne bottles. And now on to the other DUmmies clinging fervently to their Nate Silver security blankets...]
Wow. Getting almost back to September levels!
[When the Bamster had a 77.5% chance of a Freudenschade victory.]
Great! Now I can relax.
[Yup! No need to even bother to vote because Obama has banked it...according to Nate Silver.]
Need constant assurance because it is difficult to hear all the spin throughout the day and wonder if Romney will win with all his lies.
[No need to worry, my little DUmmie. According to Nate Silver, you have only a 22.6% chance of melting down into an angry psychopathic vegetable.]
You never let your opponent see one sliver of daylight.
[That's what I call seeing the Silver lining.]
Good stuff. Sure hope it comes to be true.
[Bev Harrris is just $10 away from guaranteeing it.]
Just watched him tell Charlie Rose tonight that Obama is the winner based on his data.
[Keep telling the Democrats that victory is in the bag because that will be sure to lower the lazy RAT vote. Hey, I waited a long time to early vote yesterday but if I were a Democrat who listened to Nate Silver, I would have probably skipped the ordeal because he has declared it to be in the bag. Therefore I predict that there is a 77.4% chance that Nate Silver's prognostications will LOWER the Democrat turnout.]
Man I wish this thing was over.
[You are only 5 days away from no longer worshiping Nate Silver's zipper.]
Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada, Likely Obama! Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, Lean Obama! And Florida back to toss-up!
[And I predict there that there is a 77.4% chance that in five days the DUmmies will be back to throw-up!]
The Quinnipiac poll should push him to 80% then!
[Actually 79.9% according to the infallible Nate Silver.]
Obama will probably drop to the mid-70s soon, thanks to a conveniently timed Rasmussen or Gravis poll.
[77.3% to be precise.]
Nate put the SurveyUSA (+3) OHIO poll for Obama into the model, but the new Quinnipiac poll to come out this morning is not in Nate's model yet. Obama is already at 78% in OHIO tonight, so maybe he will hit 80% in Nate's model tomorrow when he includes the new Quinnipiac poll.
[80.3% when you factor in the 7-11 coffee cup poll.]
Obama will break 80% tomorrow due to the Quinnipiac poll, I bet Things are looking better and better!
[There is a 77.4% chance that Obama will break 80% tomorrow. The mighty infallible Oz has spoken! Now lean back, DUmmies. Close your eyes and click your heels together three times and repeat after me..."There is a 77.4% chance that Obama will be re-elected."]
You go to court.
The Judge, prosecutor, your defense atty, every member in the jury, the bailiffs, 35 of the 36 court witnesses are against you.
Only one witness says you are innocent.
Despite all that-you still manage to break even.
Yes that’s what being a Republican is like.
That we get more than 20%, shows how bad they are.
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