To: FairOpinion
McClintock cannot win under any scenarios Again, no. Do the math.
In a three way race if 50% of Schwarzenegger's voters are conservatives and they decide to vote for a conservative instead od Schwarzenegger, McClintock beats both Bustamante and Scwarzenegger.
The math is there.
To: tallhappy
The ONLY way McC can win is if he is the ONLY candidate running, period. Wake up.
To: tallhappy
And in what election, EVER, has half of a leading candidate's support switched sides, 10 days away from an election? Even in the face of scandal?
tallhappy, I'm pretty sure that you're the guy that posts a lot of good articles about the abuses going on in Red China. But please look at the plusses and minuses of Tom's stubborn stand. There is NO precedent for any kind of winning situation to happen for Tom.
If Schwartenegger wins, we'll be facing some issues we don't like one bit, but we'll be far better off with him that Busty. We'd REALLY be better off with someone with the ideas and knowledge of McClintock on the inside of the winning team.
So to summarize:
1. There is NO (even remotely) plausible scenario for Tom to win;
2. There WAS (before absentee ballots started pouring in) a very plausible scenario for Tom to be on the inside of the winning team;
3. There IS a good chance that, through normal political means, Tom can extract public promises from Arnold; and
4. There IS a GREAT chance Tom can cause a disaster (Gov. Bustamonte) to be visited upon our state if he continues on this course.
Having ideals is great. Not having a clue how to realistically your ideals to reality sucks.
To: tallhappy
>
In a three way race if 50% of Schwarzenegger's voters are conservatives and they decide to vote for a conservative instead od Schwarzenegger, McClintock beats both Bustamante and Scwarzenegger.
The math is there.
>
That is not math. That is presumption. 1/2 of Arnold's support will not vote for McClintock because he is too extreme for California -- And You Know It. McClintock's support need not vote *for* Arnold. Then need only vote *against* the opposition by punching the chad for Arnold. Those with extreme positions never get to vote *for* a winner. The best they can do is deny the opposition a victory. That's The Way It Is.
It has reached a level of probability that this is no longer principle. This is an exercise in either sabotage or self indulgence. Neither are noble.
76 posted on
09/27/2003 9:41:31 PM PDT by
Owen
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