Your question about how one would know the dem strategy was very strange.
The whole thing has boiled down to a strategy of trying to tie Arnold to right wing extremism and Bush and pit that vs Davis.
The Republicans knew this and let it hamper them. Jim Brulte officially took no side or stance on recall just for this reason. Yet even with this the dems screamed how Brulte was corrdinating it on behalf of the Whitehouse.
Now Brulte has endorsed Schwarzenegger. The dem playbook has been manifested finally.
Will it fly? Hard to say. It worked well with Simon, but he was cheez whiz.
It's all very strange but I see it as a turf war more than a war between left and right.
My conversations, with family & friends, didn't contain such info.
That's my pick for quote of the day.
IMO you have hit on the reason without hitting on the cause. There is a reason that the majority of party conservatives are behind Arnold and it is not a battle for control of the party, it is a battle to stay relevant in the party. If the California conservatives are blamed for this loss because of backing McClintock after the Simon fiasco they will be relegated to the back of the bus for a very long time.