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To: Lake
Here is the math:

Right now if a product in China costs 100 rmb straight off the factory floor...

In dollars that equates to about $12.

A US manufacturer could make the same product at $14.50 each.

Under those circumstances the Chinese version is 17% cheaper, not in China, but in the US.

If the rmb is revalued to a proper level...but for the sake of this discussion lets just say instead of 8.3 to 1, it will go to 7 to 1...(about a 15% correction)

(please note that the average claim is that the RMB is about 30% undervalued)

The Chinese version then costs about $14.30...that is only 1.5% cheaper...thus allowing the US companies to compete. Also you have to realize that you would still have to get the product from China to the US...

If the 30% undervalue number is correct (and its close) then the exchange rate then goes to about 5.8 to 1.

In those circumstances the 100rmb product then becomes $17.25 in US dollars... In those circumstances the US product (@ $14.50) then becomes 16% cheaper...

16 posted on 09/27/2003 7:23:02 AM PDT by maui_hawaii
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To: maui_hawaii
I for one cannot see in my kids life time Chinese buying American products. In fact it's hard for me to FIND an American product to buy.
18 posted on 09/27/2003 7:28:36 AM PDT by Afronaut (RNC ZOMBIES VOTING FOR METROSEXUAL ARNOLD (Blue Girlie Ring included))
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