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To: AmericanInTokyo
Hello American In Tokyo:

Arrangement 2

Here is a case for Tom not getting out of the race. It has been suggested and is VERY POSSIBLE or even PROBABLE that if Tom gets out of the race now, Arnold's numbers will rise to the point of crushing Cruz (about 1/2 to 2/3 of Tom's people will go for Arnold to make sure Cruz does not win...).

Sounds good to all the Arnold supporters. Their guy will be way back up in the polls and he will beat Cruz as Arnold supporters have pre-ordained.

But "Houston, we have a problem."

If Tom gets out, it will be Cruz that is the spoiler for Davis. It has been rumored that one reason that many Democrats still support the RECALL is that they think that Cruz can advance their leftist agenda better than Davis. So when the polls indicate Cruz is a goner, and CRUZ gets back to NO on RECALL (because he has no chance), the Democrats come home and Davis wins.

So in a wierd twist of fate...

PRESSURE TOM TO GET OUT AND KEEP DAVIS

Lastly, everyone from Hugh Hewitt to the most inane troll at DU understands that at the last minute, something awful will be brought up about Arnold.

There are two possible scenarios here (if Tom gets out):

1. Arnold's numbers get rid of Cruz and with the scandel, say "Hasta la Vista Arnold" and Hello Davis.

2. Arnold's numbers don't rise greatly, Cruz stays in and with the scandel, say "Hasta la Vista Arnold" and "Hola Cruz".

Is it smart to have Tom get out? Me thinks NOT.

DD

Previously posted but pertinent to the discussion

31 posted on 09/26/2003 3:16:08 PM PDT by DiamondDon1 (Official Tombot, Member VRWC)
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To: DiamondDon1
Tom's name (and Simon's and Ueberroth's, too) will still be on the ballot regardless of whether they declare themselves "in" or "out." It's super easy for voters to support a Republican against Bustamante if Arnold implodes.
48 posted on 09/26/2003 3:29:10 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative (Inconceivable!)
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