How does it say that? It says that even if Arnold drops out (and there is no chance in the world that is going to happen), McClintock would STILL lose by 6 points.
So if Hell freezes over, the guy still will get beaten. Don't get me wrong, Arnold is a total moron and I disagree with just about everything he claims to stand for. That being said, if I lived in California, I would vote for him in a second.
You would have been among the many last year proclaiming Janet Reno was a shoo-in for the Dem gubernatorial candidate. Her lead was more impressive than these, yet she lost to McBride. And I would say that was a much more stable race than this one.