[justlurking]

The Lone Democrat that is staying: Kenneth Armbrister, Victoria

Arbrister knows he is vulnerable. Take a look at the last election analysis for his district:

http://www.capitol.state.tx.us/par_rpts/current/senate/dist18/r8.htm

His district went 62.4% for Cornyn for US Senator, and 66.5% for Perry for Governor. Of the four US Represenatives that straddle his district, 3 Republicans (DeLay, Paul, Carter) got at least 66% of the vote.

Of the rest, I thought Whitmire might be vulnerable:

http://www.capitol.state.tx.us/par_rpts/current/senate/dist15/r8.htm

But, while 3 out of the 6 US represenatives that straddle his district are Republicans, the largest block of votes went to Jackson-Lee.

Only 44.5% voted for Cornyn, and 46.9% for Perry. So, it's not likely that any Texas Senate seats will change parties in the near future, unless the backlash gets Armbrister. And Armbrister is a good guy (he authored SB501 in the regular session).

[deport]

I think there are only four of the 12 Democrat Senators up in 04...... as follows along with percentage vote the won by in their last election. However there has been redistricting since their last election so the make up or voting tendency of their district may have changed somewhat.....

Gonzalo Barrientos 52%
John Witmire 60%
Ken Armbrister 53%
Judith Zaffirini 89%