i'm not so sure about that - this could still go either way depending on how it plays in the press.
consider this from AP:
WASHINGTON (AP) The Bush administration is engaged in frantic finger-pointing as it tries to explain how its handling of faulty intelligence on allegations of Iraqi nuclear smuggling produced so few red flags.
CIA Director George Tenet tried to end the finger-pointing Friday night by pointing the finger at himself, taking responsibility for allowing into President Bush's State of the Union address an erroneous claim that Iraq had tried to buy nuclear material in Africa.
...
''The continued finger-pointing, charge-countercharge and bureaucratic warfare within the administration do nothing to make this country safer and will simply further erode the confidence of the American public and our allies around the world,'' said John Kerry, one of the Democratic presidential hopefuls trying to capitalize on the dispute.
''Everyone is trying to evade responsibility,'' Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich., said in a telephone interview from Detroit. ''There is to me very disturbing evidence of deception somewhere. Where the deception is we don't know, but there is an inquiry going on.''
will these be the kind of wire that the nation's sundays newspapers pickup? if so, i'd say bush is still playing defense.