To: thedilg
Weren't the numbers based on 900+ projected units?
It would probably really scare the folks back home to know the real numbers, so more smoke and mirrors are likely being used.
93 posted on
07/19/2003 8:00:48 PM PDT by
Bobsat
To: Bobsat
Weren't the numbers based on 900+ projected units?
I have followed fairly closely for about the last 2 years. The quantity of 458 has been relatively static. Just recently the cost quietly jumped $2 Billion. I expect that the cost will continue to rise.
If the original program cost was $58 billion for 900 airframes, the original program unit cost was $64 million a copy vs todays $131 million a copy. So far this is just a doubling of the cost estimate. I always figure on a Phi factor increase. (3.1416) It hasn't happened yet because of the difficulties. Once they get production release from the DSARC principals look for the cost to about double again. My prediction. Hold me too it.
Godfspeed, The Dilg
95 posted on
07/19/2003 8:50:24 PM PDT by
thedilg
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