Sorry, you couldn't be more mistaken. These are indeed random samples of those who voted.
And it is a nationwide sample.
Normally, national polls interview 500 to 1000 people and then have a margin of error of 3 or 4%.
This exit poll interviewed over 16,000 people. So, yes, it is far, far more in depth and accurate than a normal poll.
And its results exactly mirror the results of the actual election.
Look at the breakdown of the races and sexes, how they voted, etc. They mirror their percentage in the population at large.
The statistics are about as dead on correct as we are going to get. shred
No these are called a sample of “convenience”. What was the response rate and where are those percentages listed or are you saying 100% of 16,000 responded? Where is the control group?
And it is a nationwide sample.
Maybe but it doesn’t state how it’s a random sample and represents the entire population.
Normally, national polls interview 500 to 1000 people and then have a margin of error of 3 or 4%.
That has absolutely nothing to do with how margin of error is calculated.
This exit poll interviewed over 16,000 people. So, yes, it is far, far more in depth and accurate than a normal poll.
A “convenience sample” – regardless of its size – that represents the entire population cannot be known.
And its results exactly mirror the results of the actual election. Look at the breakdown of the races and sexes, how they voted, etc. They mirror their percentage in the population at large.
Garbage in Garbage out.
The statistics are about as dead on correct as we are going to get.
You don’t know what you’re talking about.