To: InShanghai
I'm getting a rough mortality rate of about 7%.
Hmmmm.....
Is that right? Or is it higher?
8 posted on
04/21/2003 6:06:58 PM PDT by
PokeyJoe
(BBQ Iraqi Pork Ribs for Dinner.)
To: PokeyJoe
I've been monitoring Hong Kong stats since it broke out there, and have the death rate in Hong Kong estimated at a minimum of about 8% of those hospitalized. I have charts and graphs of the Hong Kong epidemic posted
here
11 posted on
04/21/2003 6:14:52 PM PDT by
per loin
To: PokeyJoe
The mortaltiy or better "lethality" defined as the ratio of deaths to total resolved cases (i.e. deaths plus recoveries, leaving out the sick whose outcomes are in doubt) yields a number between 15% and 20%.
Make no mistake this is a very serious disease.
29 posted on
04/21/2003 6:59:27 PM PDT by
John Valentine
(Writing from downtown Seoul, keeping an eye on the hills to the north.)
To: PokeyJoe
mortality rate is #dead/total infected. We have no Idea of how many have been infected. If 100 die and there have been 1,000,000 infected then the mortality rate is 0.1%.
This thing is basically a head cold from hell. For all we know, half a billion chinese have had this and kept on going.
The numerator is easy, the denominator has always been very difficult in epidemiology.
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