Leftist twit Jonathon Alter does the "conventional wisdom" column. He's the one who suggested on election night when it looked like Bush had taken Florida that the Electoral College should be overturned due to Gore having a plurality in the popular vote.
I'd like to see the net of Alter's up and down arrows on Bush since Bush took office (it's definitely more down than up). My guess is about a net 30 arrows down. Amazing how well Bush is doing given such a precipitous decline . . .