I agree with the Israeli assessment about it not being taped. Saddam would have made it look better had he planned in advance. It was either a live double or a live dictator who had a very bad wake-up call.
Live braodcasts don't have tape dropouts and tape wrinkles. This was from tape, without doubt.
I am not qualified to tell if it was SH or a double, but I am convinced it was from tape.