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To: ARCADIA
Let's see...

Factors to consider:

Majority of allied forces ready now, the rest in theater will be ready within 72 hours

Increased CAP and ADA interdiction over the past week

Release of information concerning dialogue with Iraqi military leaders concerning early surrenders

Re-positioning of naval task force from the Med to the Red Sea nearing completion

UN Security council vote set for Monday

U.S., G.B. and Spain in summit on the Azores

France's Defense Minister on the red eye to Arab states

Fences cut along Kuwaiti/Iraqi border

UN troops in Kuwait have pulled out of position

The embedded media are all tanned, rested and in place

Saddam is killing his henchmen left and right

Iraqi forces have been spotted moving southward into defensive positions

US public opinion to get on with it at an all time high (70%+)

Not so important Factors:

The moon

The sandstorms

The heat

Non-Factors at this point:

The French

The Germans

The Russians

Human Shields

...and a whole hellavu lot of other UN tinpots and anti-American peaceniks

So, I'd say midweek next week, Friday at the latest.

(then again, I could be totally wrong. It could happen tonight.)

31 posted on 03/15/2003 4:28:20 PM PST by TADSLOS (Sua Sponte)
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To: TADSLOS
Your analysis of when it starts sounds right. A new thread titled "Troops Move to Battle Positions" was just posted. Article in the UK's The Sunday Telegraph quotes senior military officials as saying it will start in the early morning hours of Wednesday or Thursday.
41 posted on 03/15/2003 4:35:51 PM PST by Peach
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To: TADSLOS
Increased CAP and ADA interdiction over the past week

What's that and why is it significant?

60 posted on 03/15/2003 4:43:36 PM PST by ARCADIA (Abuse of power comes as no surprise)
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