WINTER STORM WATCH

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI ^ | 400 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2003 | SF/BGM/MANN

[Chemist_Geek]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
400 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2003

...A STRONG WINTER STORM EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...

.A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE OVER THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT...THEN QUICKLY RACE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST SATURDAY. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK THROUGH EASTERN OHIO SATURDAY EVENING...AND THEN INTO UPSTATE NEW YORK BY SUNDAY MORNING.

BASED ON THIS TRACK...PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD ALL OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN ON SATURDAY. DESPITE THE RECENT WARM SPELL OVER LOWER MICHIGAN...IT APPEARS ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL BE GENERATED TO PRODUCE A MOSTLY SNOW EVENT THROUGHOUT ALL OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN.

HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BEGIN AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN SOUTH OF EIGHT MILE ROAD. AN ABUNDANT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A SIX TO TWELVE INCH SNOWFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF M 59...WHICH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF HOWELL...PONTIAC...AND PORT HURON. ANY SLOWER CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW WILL PRODUCE LESSER AMOUNTS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE... BUT NOT IMMINENT. AT THE TIME...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND/OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS... SO IT IS IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MIZ075-076-082-083-220400-
LENAWEE MI-MONROE MI-WASHTENAW MI-WAYNE MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONROE...DOWNTOWN DETROIT...ANN ARBOR...ADRIAN...ROMULUS AND DUNDEE
400 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2003

...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE POTENTIAL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY NOONTIME SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW WILL BEGIN OR BRIEFLY MIX WITH RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE 6 TO 12 INCHES. AMOUNTS MAY BE LESS IF THE CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW TAKES LONGER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER FORECAST UPDATES ON THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM.

$$

SF/BGM

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-221100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
420 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN FOR POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES TO AS MUCH AS 12 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...PLEASE SEE THE WINTER STORM WATCH ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE AT 400 PM.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER EASTERN TEXAS TODAY WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OHIO SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN NORTHEAST TO NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CARRY A LARGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AND IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW A FAVORABLE TRACK FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY ON THE ACTUAL PATH OF THE STORM TO REQUIRE CONTINUED MONITORING OF FORECAST UPDATES...WITH THE PATTERN OF SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLY BEING ADJUSTED NORTH OR SOUTH WITH TIME.

ALSO...DUE TO THIS SAME LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER LAKE HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY MORNING. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR LAKE HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR.

ANOTHER WEAKER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY FOLLOW A SIMILAR PATH ON MONDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT THIS LATTER STORM WILL BE NEARLY AS STRONG...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SNOWFALL REPORTS FROM SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS...FOR THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN ALSO OBTAIN THE LATEST FORECAST ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DTX/ (ALL LOWER CASE)
$$

MANN

[Mark Turbo]

Snow-and-ice Ping

I just got back from a business trip to Arizona and temperatures in the 70's. I guess I'm about to renew my acquaintance with Old Man Winter in a big way.

[Chemist_Geek]

Yep, been watching the intellicast radar all day. So far it's staying pretty well south of us.

I tend to like the NWS radar page. I don't know what it is about the Intellicast page that I don't like.

The Unisys Weather page has really good plots, even some upper-air stuff I haven't found elsewhere.

[Michael Barnes]

Hey buddy, if you don't want the stuff, I'll take it!!! My well is thirsty...

PA

[Dan from Michigan]

I'll be happy to give it if I could.

[Chemist_Geek]

Just went through over 5 inches of rain last storm, so we're pretty saturated here.

Yeah, the ground would be pretty damp and unwilling to take any more water in... It'll just sit around on top of the dirt looking for somewhere to go.

I would prefer snow, but the cows wouldn't ... and feeding them in snow is not fun.

Couldn't you just wait until they came home? (ducking and running...)

[Chemist_Geek]

I'll be happy to give it if I could.

I read somewhere on FR that a guy in Noo Yawk was selling snow from last week's storm on EBay.

[Chemist_Geek]

I just got back from a business trip to Arizona and temperatures in the 70's. I guess I'm about to renew my acquaintance with Old Man Winter in a big way.

Consider it penance. (grin) Glad to hear your trip was completed safely.

[MetalHeadConservative35]

great this is all we need more snow?

i think this might be the snowiest year for us michiganders

[Flashlight]

Thanks for the warning/update. I'd better get moving and do all my stuff this morning, and be ready. Hope it's not too much to stop me from going out tonite, though.

[Flashlight]

Remember that big storm last year that didn't happen? We were supposed to get something like four inches of ice on top of freezing rain mixed with more snow. Everything was cancelled that morning, schools were all closed.
I went out before noon, and all there was was a bunch of slush to drive through. The video store was packed sith everyone who had the day off looking for movies to rent.

[ItsJeff]

And I'll thank you to leave the last copy of "Barbarella" for me!

[MetalHeadConservative35]

just looked outside...we got freezing rain here in westland

[Flashlight]

...freezing rain here in westland...we've had very light rain (non-freezing) for a while here in Allen Park.

[ThinkPlease]

Light freezing rain in AA until 10:30, then startied snowing. It pretty much started to accumulate right away. The wife and I aren't going anywhere today, I think. We were going to look for furniture today, but, naaaaah.

[RCW2001]

Fortunately it hasn't started off as freezing rain around Jackson. Started a light snow around 10:30...starting to pickup some.

Hope this one is a good one...we need the moisture.

[MetalHeadConservative35]

you lousy downriver people! lol j/k

[MetalHeadConservative35]

didnt know you were from michigan

[Chemist_Geek]

We had light rain all morning in Wyandotte, until 11:15 or so when ice pellets began to fall. That fell until about 2:30 or so when snow began.