[SauronOfMordor]

The flotilla would get troops scattered and lost, landing on different points of Taiwan with no chain of command, supplies, or idea of what to do. Trying to do over the horizon navigation at night in a fishing boat is just asking for trouble.

That was before cheap GPS units. Now every small boat can successfuly navigate over the horizon, and arrive to within a few yards of where they're supposed to be. Even at night while its raining

[Steel Wolf]

Lambs to the slaughter, my friend. You're still looking at light infantry washing ashore into well laid traps, modern tanks, and heavy artillery. The terrain of Taiwan does not favor the attacker in the least.

Even if the boats get them there, they will be able to take very little food or ammuntion. Once the fishing boats start congesting an area, coastal artillery, naval craft, and air power will break it up. It will be a large scale version of the Bay of Pigs.