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The Disintegration of the Golden Era in the Golden State
NY TIMES ^ | 2/9/03 | ANDRÉS MARTINEZ

Posted on 02/09/2003 3:36:02 AM PST by Liz

EDITORIAL OBSERVER

SANTA MONICA, Calif. — John Deasy, the superintendent of one of the state's most affluent school districts, clearly knew the figures, but he couldn't help but look for them on the sheet before him, as if to make sure this hadn't all been an unpleasant dream. The numbers are that dire. California's budget crisis will soon force Mr. Deasy to terminate more than 200 of the Santa Monica-Malibu Unified School District's 900 employees, including 102 teachers. There will be no more school nurses and no more elementary school music programs. High school classrooms will be crammed with up to 40 students.

"It's disastrous. This district is going to know times it hasn't known before," Mr. Deasy said last Thursday, as he steeled himself to review the budget cuts at a public school board meeting. "This whole state is going to know times it hasn't known before."

Residents along this picturesque coastline on the fringe of Los Angeles may yet prop up their schools through private fund-raising, but there is less hope for poorer districts across the state, not to mention for imperiled investments in everything from transportation to health care. Moreover, California's budget crisis now threatens the state's overall economic recovery. Yet surprisingly, there is little discussion about how the state's coffers can better endure another dot-com-like boom-and-bust cycle in the future.

On Thursday, California state officials were in Manhattan, trying to convince skeptical credit-rating firms that the state is making progress in getting its finances in order. With California's projected $35 billion budget shortfall over the next year and a half, by far the bleakest outlook for any state, Moody's is considering lowering its rating on a par with New York and Louisiana.

Wall Street's skepticism is justified. Mired in a partisan stalemate, Sacramento doesn't seem capable of resolving its fiscal mess. Things are so bad you almost expect the International Monetary Fund to get involved.

California's political leadership is in a state of denial. Republican legislators blindly oppose any tax increase, while some of Gov. Gray Davis's fellow Democrats jostle with him about the extent of the spending cuts needed. Mr. Davis has proposed a tough $24.4 billion package of spending cuts and tax increases. The governor would impose two new double-digit marginal income-tax rates for the wealthiest taxpayers (who would forward a portion of their federal tax cut on to Sacramento) and increase the sales tax by a cent. But he is threatening to veto a plan by Democrats to restore vehicle registration fees to their 1998 level (when they were slashed by two-thirds).

The governor feels this strategy will help him gain the support of some Republicans for his overall package. That seems unlikely, given the increasingly entrenched positions on either side of tax issues, according to Lenny Goldberg, the executive director of the California Tax Reform Association. Along with term limits, the latest reapportionment of legislative districts, which cut down on the number of competitive seats that might favor moderate candidates, has furthered this division. It is a trend also discernible in Washington. In California, Mr. Goldberg says, "the voters will ultimately have to help us break the present stalemate."

That would be fitting, since Californians helped to get their state into this fix. Since the 1978 triumph of Proposition 13, which signaled the rise of a grass-roots antitax movement that helped send Ronald Reagan to the White House, populist initiatives have been an impediment to sound, long-term policy making in the state. By freezing local property taxes and imposing an onerous requirement that any other new tax be approved by a two-thirds' majority of lawmakers, Proposition 13 has starved California of needed investment capital. It also gave large commercial properties an unintended tax advantage that needs to be addressed, and it forever muddled questions of local versus state responsibilities. Subsequent initiatives earmarking revenues or approving new programs without any regard to their cost have further curtailed the government's discretion.

Popular sovereignty has become so much a part of California's political DNA, according to Bruce Cain, the director of the Institute of Governmental Studies at the University of California, Berkeley, that there is little use in trying to abolish the initiative process or to limit "ballot-box budgeting." (He used to try.) Voters will have to amend their past mistakes, for example, by passing initiatives to lift the two-thirds' legislative majority required for new taxes.

In the meantime, California remains heavily dependent on state income taxes. The Legislature seems almost nonchalant about the loss of all the taxable capital gains once generated by Silicon Valley. The late 1990's bull market and the large concentration of option-rich high-tech workers in California lifted state personal income tax receipts from $28 billion in 1997-1998 to $45 billion in 2000-2001. They fell back to $34 billion in 2001-2002. Personal income tax receipts now account for roughly half the state's general fund revenues, compared with only 18 percent in 1962-1963.

The sudden falloff is driving today's crisis. "It feels like we're funding education out of some giant hedge fund in Sacramento," Mr. Deasy said.

California treated these windfalls as ordinary revenue that could pay for an infinite number of new programs. The politicians in Sacramento were not alone in their irrational exuberance. As Professor Cain noted ruefully, many of his students left Berkeley before collecting a degree in hopes of cashing in on the dot-com boom. Many of them are now unemployed.


TOPICS: Editorial; US: California
KEYWORDS: calgov2002
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......Californians helped to get their state into this fix. Since the 1978 triumph of Proposition 13, which signaled the rise of a grass-roots antitax movement.........populist initiatives have been an impediment to sound, long-term policy making in the state.....

Figures. Blame the people for wanting less government, and for wanting to hold on to some of their hard-earned money.

Phooey on politicians. They are not off the hook by any means. They shoulder most of the blame for Big Government, tax-financed handouts to curry favor with selected voting blocs, and the huge, costly patronage system.

1 posted on 02/09/2003 3:36:02 AM PST by Liz
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To: Grampa Dave; Ernest_at_the_Beach; d14truth
....ping.......
2 posted on 02/09/2003 3:36:40 AM PST by Liz
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To: Liz
"I could have solved this problem in 20 minutes by raising electricity rates..."
3 posted on 02/09/2003 3:46:52 AM PST by snopercod
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To: Robert357
On Thursday, California state officials were in Manhattan, trying to convince skeptical credit-rating firms that the state is making progress in getting its finances in order.
4 posted on 02/09/2003 3:48:07 AM PST by snopercod
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To: snopercod
Cali's problem could not be any clearer: graydavis.
5 posted on 02/09/2003 3:51:37 AM PST by Liz
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To: Liz
Cali's problem could not be any clearer: graydavis.

I would go to a more proximate cause: The socialist philosopy held by the majority of the people there.

How's the recall drive coming?

6 posted on 02/09/2003 3:56:53 AM PST by snopercod
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To: Liz; DoughtyOne; Grampa Dave; Ernest_at_the_Beach; d14truth
<< Proposition 13 has starved California of "needed investment capital." >>

What absolute crap!

And what a demonstration of economics ignorance sans par!

Allowing California's citizens to keep their own money freed the Hundreds of Billions of Dollars that have fueled that state's enviable prosperity.

But too bad that -- and the huge contribution of some of the world's most creative, innovative, productive and industrious minds -- was overtaken by the abject corruption of decades of thieving, lying, looting co-serial-rapist-supporting state-and-local-gummint "DemocRATs" having their unsupervised hands on the check books and their totally irresponsible willingness to borrow and spend sums of money that most of them couldn't even spell and write down -- let alone earn and/or understand -- and generations of parasitical criminal alien and other parasites' vote buying -- all on borrowed and fantasized money.

No-one was ever taxed into prosperity and California's creative innovative productive and industrious base was not about to be used as the example to prove the rule.

So it went to Denver and to Phoenix and to Seattle and to Portland.

Good luck with the recall battle, GrayOut.

Good luck California "DemocRATS."

/sarcasm

[But, to put it to yah gently, I'd say, "You're f****d, Buddies!"]

7 posted on 02/09/2003 4:22:44 AM PST by Brian Allen (This above all -- to thine own self be true)
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To: Liz
All the years of giving illegal aliens full rights and benefits, purely for the reason of feathering the nests of the sociology majors and empire builders have led to this.

California has demonized the entrepenures who created the economy. They have killed the goose that laid the gold eggs for a brief feeding frenzy of cooked goose. Now they are left with a picked-clean carcass and the illegals demanding more!

8 posted on 02/09/2003 4:49:03 AM PST by Redleg Duke (Stir the pot...don't let anything settle to the bottom where the lawyers can feed off of it!)
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To: Brian Allen

Dummycraps gonna sic the taxdog on overburdened Californians.

9 posted on 02/09/2003 4:54:46 AM PST by Liz
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To: Redleg Duke; snopercod; Brian Allen
The rank pandering by Dumbocrap politicians for voting blocs (hyphenated Americans) at the expense of the paying populace has been the ruination of our culture.

Pandering pols have divided the Nation and created a balkanized America with voting sects (defined by their own special interests as opposed to the culture's general well-being).

These hyphenated Americans compete against each other to see who can get the most freebies. And the taxpayers must foot the bills.

10 posted on 02/09/2003 5:02:11 AM PST by Liz
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To: Liz
Stupid is as stupid does.

California's budget deficit is larger than the other 49 states combined. The State has been led by the left for well over a generation and there is no sign of a shift to the fiscally conservative right.

The problem isn't tax revenues - it's spending.
11 posted on 02/09/2003 5:05:04 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (Let's Roll)
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To: Brian Allen
California is the 6th highest state in tax revenue per capita. That is quite enough to do the job. The NYT hates Prop 13, that's all. The question I believe we should be asking at this time is "What is government doing that we should not or should be done elsewhere?" As a for instance, it takes time and money to enforce the plethora of regulations the state has, do we really need a state license for cosmetology? I think not. Do we need any of the unconstitutional guns laws (and almost all gun laws are)? No. Its not enough to cut taxes (which is a good thing in and of itself), how about we remove the structural cause of expensive government by repealing laws and eliminating useless functions?
12 posted on 02/09/2003 5:11:14 AM PST by RKV
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To: Liz
You are speaking of the blacks and latinos, of course. Immigrants from Asia and elsewhere have assimilated themselves and become productive members of American society.

I can't recall seing a Vietnamese with a "Viva la Raza" [Long live our race] bumper sticker, for example. You never see gangs of Asians hanging out on street corners (at least I never have).

13 posted on 02/09/2003 5:13:34 AM PST by snopercod
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
California has not been liberal for a generation. We had RINO governors like Dukmejian and Pete Wilson (gun-grabbers both, but at least they could balance a budget). Remember Prop 187? No, what we have here is a runaway legislature. The teachers and public worker unions are hogs at the trough, that's what is driving the spending. That and the combined regulatory overburden of the feds, cities, state and counties, which is driving away business. Add several million illegals with their hands out and you have a real disaster - no way you can cover your share of taxes at $7/hour.
14 posted on 02/09/2003 5:17:17 AM PST by RKV
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To: Redleg Duke
All the years of giving illegal aliens full rights and benefits, purely for the reason of feathering the nests of the sociology majors and empire builders have led to this.

Isn't it intreesting that "The most important newspaper in America" failed to mention the impact of immigration (legal and illegal) on California's budget?

If you refuse to even discuss the most critical issue in California because of political correctness then it is impossible to be coherent on this subject.

California officials should be in Washington DC demanding a ten year moratorium on legal immigration and military defense against illegal immigration.

Until that day comes anybody on Wall Street who loans them money deserves the default they will get.
15 posted on 02/09/2003 5:17:26 AM PST by cgbg
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To: snopercod
They think the wealthy will stay to pay the increased taxes huh? If I had that much moolah, I'd move to Nevada, Texas or Florida. Any state without an income tax sounds pretty good to me.
16 posted on 02/09/2003 5:18:30 AM PST by goldstategop
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To: snopercod
Take a look at the Democrap party's makeup and their party platform. There are any number of officially recognized hyphenated-groups. They are all encouraged to organize and lobby for their own special interests.
17 posted on 02/09/2003 5:20:07 AM PST by Liz
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To: Liz
This is what we call the "Taj Mahal"...the Desert Sands Unified School District Administration building(and this shot probably only shows half of it); the schools should be half so nice.


18 posted on 02/09/2003 5:23:16 AM PST by ErnBatavia ((Bumperootus!))
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To: ErnBatavia; Oldeconomybuyer
The government is living too good.......and it's all at the people's expense.
19 posted on 02/09/2003 5:27:03 AM PST by Liz
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To: Brian Allen
Proposition 13 has starved California of needed investment capital.

You beat me to it. How the hell can a cap on taxes erode investiment capital? WHEN PEOPLE KEEP MORE OF THEIR MONEY, THEY WILL HAVE MORE TO INVEST!

20 posted on 02/09/2003 5:38:26 AM PST by glockmeister40
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