IMO Poppa took a dive against Bubba. There had to be a reason and I think it was in Iran-Contra. Are you really a betting man?
I dunno about that. Bush-1 had already shot himself in the foot by using executive orders to ban guns and gun accessories. He had also pissed off fiscal conservatives by raising taxes.
There can be no doubt that Bubbette! turned Guiliani into her personal bitch,though.