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Former Inspectors: Iraq Deception Goes On (It's hard not to be convinced by this evidence)
Arab World News ^ | Februari 05 2003 | AP

Posted on 02/05/2003 4:35:00 PM PST by knighthawk

WASHINGTON (AP) — The evidence presented by Secretary of State Colin Powell Wednesday shows Iraq is using some of the same techniques to thwart weapons inspectors that were used during searches in the 1990s, former weapons inspectors said.

``If he's correct, they have resuscitated their denial and deceit program,'' said former U.N. inspector Dr. Raymond Zilinskas. ``That's a very disturbing sign, because that means the Iraqis will never provide in a proactive way the information that's required.''

Zilinskas and other former inspectors said Powell's presentation to the U.N. Security Council disclosed intelligence on Iraq's banned weapons programs in unprecedented detail. For example, Powell played recordings he said were intercepted transmissions between Iraqi Republican Guard officers.

Part of the reason Powell chose the Republican Guard tapes is that Iraqis already knew such transmissions were not secure, said former inspector Timothy McCarthy.

McCarthy, a missile expert, said he was struck by Powell's assertion that Iraq moved rockets loaded with biological agents from the Baghdad area to western Iraq a few months ago. Iraq has unguided rockets with ranges from about 12 miles up to about 110 miles, McCarthy said.

Some of the satellite pictures Powell showed seemed as detailed as the images former inspectors got from the U-2 surveillance planes Iraq is now blocking, Zilinskas said.

``If the Iraqis think a facility is about to be inspected, they bring in the trucks to move equipment or weapons or documents. That can be picked up by a U-2,'' said Zilinskas, now with the Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute for International Studies.

U-2 planes are important not only because of the highly detailed pictures they can take but also for their other capabilities, such as heat sensors that can detect activity at underground weapons sites, Zilinskas said.

Chief U.N. inspector Hans Blix has repeatedly pressed Iraq to allow U.N.-sponsored U-2 flights and says he will bring up the issue when he meets with Iraqi officials in Baghdad this weekend. Iraq has balked, insisting it can't guarantee the surveillance planes' safety as long as the United States and Britain continue to patrol no-fly zones over northern and southern Iraq.

Such resistance is surprising, given the fact that the United States is building up its military forces in the region in preparation for possible war, said former inspector Jonathan Tucker.

``It's difficult to understand the Iraqi mentality. They basically put a gun to their own head,'' said Tucker, a visiting fellow with the U.S. Institute for Peace.

Powell also said the U.S. had detected a test flight of an Iraqi ``unmanned aerial vehicle'' — a remote-controlled plane — of about 500 kilometers, or about 310 miles. Those drones would be ideal for spreading biological or chemical weapons, Powell said.

McCarthy said the UAV Powell discussed apparently had never been revealed before. However, flying for 300 miles in a ``racetrack'' loop over Iraq is much easier than flying 300 miles in a straight line, McCarthy said.

``In a point-to-point flight, it may not be steerable beyond the tracking range of its radar,'' McCarthy said.

He and other former inspectors said Powell made a strong case at the U.N.

``It's hard not to be convinced by this evidence,'' said Terence Taylor, a former top U.N. inspector.

Convincing reluctant members of the Security Council to approve a war against Iraq may have been all but impossible, however, McCarthy said.

``Unless you had a picture of Saddam Hussein standing next to a nuclear weapon, I doubt you would have changed any minds,'' he said.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: deception; former; inspectors; iraq; un

1 posted on 02/05/2003 4:35:00 PM PST by knighthawk
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To: dennisw; TopQuark; Alouette; veronica; weikel; EU=4th Reich; BrooklynGOP; Jimmyclyde; Buggman; ...
He and other former inspectors said Powell made a strong case at the U.N.

``It's hard not to be convinced by this evidence,'' said Terence Taylor, a former top U.N. inspector.

Middle East list

If people want on or off this list, please let me know.

2 posted on 02/05/2003 4:35:48 PM PST by knighthawk
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To: knighthawk
thanks for ping
3 posted on 02/05/2003 4:38:52 PM PST by mel
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To: knighthawk; Myrddin; Poohbah; hollywood
``In a point-to-point flight, it may not be steerable beyond the tracking range of its radar,'' McCarthy said.

What an idiot. Has he never heard of GPS???????

4 posted on 02/05/2003 5:22:42 PM PST by Travis McGee (----- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com -----)
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To: knighthawk
Gee, I guess the reporter didn't have a chance to interview Scott "Burger King" Ritter. < /sarcasm>
5 posted on 02/05/2003 5:57:44 PM PST by Catspaw
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To: Travis McGee
The civilian GPS signal can be degraded over a region, while, at the same time and place, the military one can help pinpoint which hair on Saddam's head to place a JDAM. They probably know this, and thus are probably not relying heavily on using GPS. Now, if Clintoon sold them the military decryption technology...
6 posted on 02/06/2003 7:43:49 AM PST by hollywood
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To: hollywood
My point which I failed to explain was that the dolt who made the comment about Iraq being unable to control a UAV over long distances failed to consider that one can just stick an off the shelf GPS unit on a UAV and make it flay to a waypoint to drop its anthrax spores or other payload.

Especially if your target is as big as a city.

7 posted on 02/06/2003 9:33:19 AM PST by Travis McGee (----- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com -----)
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To: Travis McGee
.....or.....just preprogram a flight path and altitude(low) and send it on it's way.....
8 posted on 02/06/2003 9:42:38 AM PST by is_is
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To: is_is
The problem is that UAVs are so slow that wind changes will change its course and distance by up to 20% or so. Over 500 miles that means you may miss your target city by 100 miles just due to wind. It's so much simpler to put on a small GPS unit and tell it to fly to a certain lat and lon. The tech for this is available at any marine store and radio shack fo under 1,000 from gps to servos.
9 posted on 02/06/2003 9:53:46 AM PST by Travis McGee (----- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com -----)
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To: Travis McGee
Yes, but my point was that the degraded GPS signal would affect the "off-the-shelf" GPS receiver's performance, and could make the GPS-guided UAV so unreliable that it might erroneously fly over to Saddams' palace and dump its load. Since they probably know that, it's probably a no-go for them using GPS for that application.
10 posted on 02/06/2003 10:03:32 AM PST by hollywood
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To: hollywood
Why would the signal be degraded in peacetime when terrorists would launch a UAV laden with anthrax etc?
11 posted on 02/06/2003 12:52:16 PM PST by Travis McGee (----- www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com -----)
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To: Travis McGee
Well, you got me there; I admit I was thinking more about wartime GPS use from within Iraq in my previous replies. However, maybe the GPS signal is ALWAYS degraded over hostile nation regions. Let's take your Garmin over there and find out.
12 posted on 02/06/2003 1:12:37 PM PST by hollywood
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To: hollywood
Let's take your Garmin over there and find out.

Sounds good to me.

13 posted on 02/06/2003 8:23:28 PM PST by Travis McGee (BLOAT, cache, and take names!)
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