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Columbia Was Beyond Any Help, Officials Say
New York Times ^ | 2/03/03 | KENNETH CHANG

Posted on 02/03/2003 9:34:25 PM PST by kattracks


HOUSTON, Feb. 3 — Even if flight controllers had known for certain that protective heat tiles on the underside of the space shuttle had sustained severe damage at launching, little or nothing could have been done to address the problem, NASA officials say.

Virtually since the hour Columbia went down, the space agency has been peppered with possible options for repairing the damage or getting the crew down safely. But in each case, officials here and at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida say, the proposed solution would not have worked.

The simplest would have been to abort the mission the moment the damage was discovered. In case of an engine malfunction or other serious problem at launching, a space shuttle can jettison its solid rocket boosters and the external fuel tank, shut down its own engines and glide back down, either returning to the Kennedy Space Center or an emergency landing site in Spain or Morocco.

But no one even knew that a piece of insulation from the external tank had hit the orbiter until a frame-by-frame review of videotape of the launching was undertaken the next day. By then, Columbia was already in orbit, and re-entry would have posed the same danger that it did 16 days later.

Four other possibilities have been discussed at briefings or in interviews since the loss of Columbia, and rejected one by one by NASA officials.

First, repairing the damaged tiles. The crew had no tools for such a repair. At a news conference on Sunday, Ron D. Dittemore, the shuttle program manager, said that early in the shuttle program, NASA considered developing a tile repair kit, but that "we just didn't believe it was feasible at the time." He added that a crew member climbing along the underside of the shuttle could cause even more damage to the tiles.

Another idea, widely circulated on the Internet in the last few days, was that the shuttle could have docked with the International Space Station once the damage was discovered. But without the external fuel tank, dropped as usual after launching, Columbia had no fuel for its main engines and thus no way it could propel itself to the station, which circles the earth on a different orbit at a higher altitude.

"We have nowhere near the fuel needed to get there," said Bruce Buckingham, a spokesman at the Kennedy Space Center.

Another shuttle, Atlantis, was scheduled for launching on March 1 to carry supplies and a new crew to the space station, and it is possible to imagine a Hollywood-type series of events in which NASA rushed Atlantis to the launching pad, sent it up with a minimal crew of two, had it rendezvous with Columbia in space and brought everyone down safely.

But Atlantis is still in its hangar, and to rush it to launching would have required NASA to circumvent most of its safety measures. "It takes about three weeks, at our best effort, to prepare the shuttle for launch once we're at the pad," Mr. Buckingham said, "and we're not even at the pad." Further, Columbia had enough oxygen, supplies and fuel (for its thrusters only) to remain in orbit for only five more days, said Patrick Ryan, a spokesman at the Johnson Space Center here.

Finally, there is the notion that Columbia's re-entry might have been altered in some way to protect its damaged area. But Mr. Dittemore said the shuttle's descent path was already designed to keep temperatures as low as possible. "Because I'm reusing this vehicle over and over again, so I'm trying to send it through an environment that minimizes the wear and tear on the structure and the tile," he said at his news conference on Sunday.

Today he added that he did not know of a way for the shuttle to re-enter so that most of the heat would be absorbed by tiles that were not damaged, on its right wing. "I'm not aware of any other scenarios, any other techniques, that would have allowed me to favor one wing over the other," he said.

Even if that had been possible, it would probably have damaged the shuttle beyond repair and made it impossible to land, requiring the crew to parachute out at high speed and at high altitude. He said there was no way managers could have gotten information about the damaged tiles that would have warranted so drastic a move.

Gene Kranz, the flight director who orchestrated the rescue of astronauts aboard the crippled Apollo 13 in 1970, said that from what he knew about the suspected tile damage, there was probably nothing that could have been done to save the flight. "The options," he said in a telephone interview, "were just nonexistent."



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To: Balata
They were already in orbit when it was discovered the take-off wasn't perfect...
21 posted on 02/03/2003 10:05:32 PM PST by Chad Fairbanks ('I WISH, at some point, that you would address those damned armadillos in your trousers." - JustShe)
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To: Balata
Hey, there's a novel idea. If you can't bring them back in case of emergency then any takeoff that is less than perfect should be aborted immediately.

Ah, it's incident #542,431,787 at FR of "not reading the article."

They didn't know the foam had fallen off till the day AFTER the launch.

22 posted on 02/03/2003 10:05:47 PM PST by John H K
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To: kattracks; Jael
But no one even knew that a piece of insulation from the external tank had hit the orbiter until a frame-by-frame review of videotape of the launching was undertaken the next day.

The NYT is parroting the NASA lines. Why am I not surprised?

23 posted on 02/03/2003 10:05:53 PM PST by Fred Mertz
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To: kattracks
I've no doubt NASA could put 6 months worth of food and oxygen on each shuttle. NASA could also load up a complete set of replacement tiles. NASA could do all the things people think should be done to plan for these contingencies.

One thing, though. It would add millions if not billions to the cost when the chances are at the worst 1/120 of something like this happening. Is that worth it? I don't think so.
24 posted on 02/03/2003 10:06:25 PM PST by DaGman
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To: John H K
Ah, it's incident #542,431,787 at FR of "not reading the article."

Is that ALL? Surely it must be mmore than that..

25 posted on 02/03/2003 10:06:46 PM PST by Chad Fairbanks ('I WISH, at some point, that you would address those damned armadillos in your trousers." - JustShe)
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To: All
Astronauts doomed from the start

THE seven astronauts on space shuttle Columbia may have been doomed in the first moments after they were shot into space 16 days ago.


http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/834641/posts

Not if they had not gone up in the first place.
26 posted on 02/03/2003 10:06:56 PM PST by TLBSHOW (God Speed as Angels trending upward dare to fly Tribute to the Risk Takers)
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To: kattracks
OK, so the orbiter was in the wrong orbit/inclination to make it to the ISS. What about using the Soyuz docked at the ISS as a ferry between the orbiter and the ISS? It holds 3 bodies so it would have taken 4 trips (with pilot) to get everyone off the orbiter.

I've not heard this option discussed at all.

27 posted on 02/03/2003 10:07:05 PM PST by strela (If you can't take a little bloody nose, maybe you oughta go back home and crawl under your bed.)
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To: TLBSHOW
All of a sudden the NYT is a newspaper of fact....LOL.
28 posted on 02/03/2003 10:07:46 PM PST by Fred Mertz
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To: blackdog
I'm one of the Apollo grunts (retired 10 years ago). Sorry that the facts don't agree with you. Nor does the man who saved Apollo 13.

Massive failure of the tile was always a loser.

However 17 deaths in 40 years is a pretty good record. NASCAR didn't do as well.

John
29 posted on 02/03/2003 10:08:25 PM PST by John Jamieson
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To: Fred Mertz
It all goes back to the Don Nelson letter and plea. O'Reilly is going to force him to talk.
30 posted on 02/03/2003 10:09:04 PM PST by TLBSHOW (God Speed as Angels trending upward dare to fly Tribute to the Risk Takers)
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To: kattracks
As soon as they knew that foam had made contact with the wing, they should have sent one of the crew out to see if any damage had been done. Why didn't they?
31 posted on 02/03/2003 10:09:52 PM PST by beckett
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To: TLBSHOW
Not if they had not gone up in the first place.

Yeah, let's just stop all attempts at advancement of knowledge because something bad might happen...

32 posted on 02/03/2003 10:10:59 PM PST by Chad Fairbanks ('I WISH, at some point, that you would address those damned armadillos in your trousers." - JustShe)
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To: strela
Soyuz could not have saved even 2. It could not have made the orbit change required.
33 posted on 02/03/2003 10:11:21 PM PST by John Jamieson
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To: beckett
Because thwey had no EVA gear on board, no EVA-qualified atronauts on board.... Have you ever read ANYTHING related to this tragedy before????
34 posted on 02/03/2003 10:12:21 PM PST by Chad Fairbanks ('I WISH, at some point, that you would address those damned armadillos in your trousers." - JustShe)
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To: DaGman
One thing, though. It would add millions if not billions to the cost when the chances are at the worst 1/120 of something like this happening. Is that worth it? I don't think so.

The fundamental problem, and actually the crux of THOUSANDS of debates, is the fairly silly but almost universally-held belief that human life is priceless.

Of course, you mention that you believe that human life ISN'T priceless, and you're immediately subjected to a torrent of flames.

But even a cursory examination of how society spends its money, makes decisions, reveals there's a price on human life...I've seen various studies that actually attempt to calculate it....but problems come in when people try to pretend there ISN'T a price.

How does this relate to the Space Shuttle program? If we really believed human life was priceless, we'd put 7 people in the thing and never launch it and play movies of space outside the windows.

Obviously, that's one (unrealistic) extreme. But to accomodate the various fixes recommended in this thread (All flights being able to reach the ISS, having a shuttle always ready to make a rescue flight, etc.) SERIOUSLY degrade the ability of the Shuttle to do useful things, and also likely cost vastly more money. There's a balance point you try to reach but there's no obvious guidlines to find where it is.

35 posted on 02/03/2003 10:12:35 PM PST by John H K
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To: strela
ok... Orbiter couldn't get to ISS. Orbiter not fitted to dock with ISS. Soyuz fitted to dock with ISS... answer your question??? :0)
36 posted on 02/03/2003 10:13:33 PM PST by Chad Fairbanks ('I WISH, at some point, that you would address those damned armadillos in your trousers." - JustShe)
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To: TLBSHOW
Gosh, darn. I didn't know that flying in space was more dangerous than driving my pickup.
37 posted on 02/03/2003 10:13:50 PM PST by John Jamieson
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To: Lancey Howard
there should always be "options".

OK, this might sound hugely ignorant and far-fetched, but...would it be feasible to boost a fuel source to the approximate orbit of the shuttle, so that the shuttle could then have enough fuel to boost its orbit to that of the ISS? We can keep the Hubble in orbit indefinitely, right?

I'm about to hike the Pacific Crest Trail, which runs from Mexico to Canada. There are people known as trail angels, who will, among other things, leave water caches near the trail in particularly hot, dry stretches. This is what gives me the idea. I'm thinking of a 'resupply/emergency kit' in orbit. It could have fuel, a docking module, EVA suits, extra oxygen, food, etc. At the very least, it could supply the shuttle enough consumables to allow time to prepare a rescue shuttle, or so I would think.

I claim no expertise whatsoever in the matter, so my opinion is worth little. But in general, does anyone think this is an idea that might have some merit?

38 posted on 02/03/2003 10:14:14 PM PST by TrappedInLiberalHell (I'm against tags -- that is, I'm antagonistic.)
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To: Aaron0617
I'll post here since I just heard this on the radio.

Japan had an astronaut planned to go on the March 1 shuttle flight. Japan has announced it will suspend all of their astronauts from US shuttle flights until they are deemed safe.

So, once again FreeRepublic has beaten Drudge on another story...Duh

39 posted on 02/03/2003 10:14:32 PM PST by Aaron0617
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Comment #40 Removed by Moderator


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