I believe you are correct. A quick look at the current state of deployments makes it quite clear we aren't looking at anything happening in the near future. I can guarantee we aren't going to start anything with just two carrier battle groups in the area. And Air Force deployments have been minimal. Not to mention the slow process of sorting out what we can do in Turkey. The Freeper timeline for the start of hostilities (1 minute after the State of the Union) has never been realistic. Saddam is playing for time. Here is what he has left, and what I believe we can expect to see in the near future...1. a huge terrorist attack in Israel, forcing an Israeli response and subsequent Arab outrage. 2. a large and manufactured number of civilian casualties in one of the no fly zones due to an allied air strike. 3. increased and more open evidence that Saddam is contemplating leaving the country (albeit completely false) 4. Increasing pressure from everyone but Canada/Australia/UK to allow the inspectors to do their job. All or any of those things combined will add weeks to the inevitable attack.
Of course, I've been wrong before.