But I doubt much of it.
People confuse the Caspian Sea and the Caspian Region often.
Plus certain companies put out disinfo to please their Iranian masters/interests. Foreward looking market strategy.
Detering alternative development of resources is a simple OPEC strategy for increasing the value of its own resources...and getting the funding to rush further development of their own resources, especially natural gas. The ways to do this our manifold, the most successful so far is the facilitating proxy wars with jihadist zombies in competitive areas of resources or pipeline routes - no. 1 target is the Chechnya and the Caucasus region.
We have been in war with Iraq since 1998 - about WMD. IMO this so called upcoming "war" is really just finishing it off. On 9.12.01 the talk about finisihing off Hussein began, and it had nothing to do about oil. It came out of anger about that area of the world, tho Hussein may have had nothing to do with 9/11. Might as well finish it up.
The war has oil consequences, but verily international opposition to the war has more to do about oil. France and Russia fear the crooked oil deals they made with Hussein will be voided. Saudi fears Iraqi oil production increases - especially an Iraq demanding back its OPEC production share pre-sanctions, which the Saudi gladly usurped - doing us a "favor." OPEC strategist have said in print that it was in OPEC's interest to maintain the sanctions regime.
Kind of makes economic sense, no?