[Sparta]

I hate to be so negative, but can we take a bet on how many Allied cities get nuked? I say two American and three Japanese cities go up.

[r9etb]

I hate to be so negative, but can we take a bet on how many Allied cities get nuked? I say two American and three Japanese cities go up.

We know where their launchers are, and they'd be first hit. Plus which, we put an Aegis ABM ship off the NK coast to catch any missiles that they do manage to launch. Then we hit the nuke plants and associated processing facilities. Then we hit Kim Jong Il, and make sure the North Koreans know about it.

And to top it off, we send several hundred sorties by B-52s along the front line, to chew up any NK troops who refuse the order to surrender.

The North Koreans know this is what will happen, and they figure we haven't got the ABM capability in place yet, which is why they're being belligerent now. My guess is, we've got a better system than we've let anybody know about.

[atomic conspiracy]

My guess is part of Seoul and maybe, just maybe a couple of air bases. NK is unlikely to have anything better than a Nagasaki type bomb, 15-20 kilotons.
Hiroshima and Nagasaki were basically small towns, albeit very crowded ones, and quite flimsily built. Results there do not accurately predict the effects in larger, more modern and more heavily built areas.
As for the attack itself, it is quite likely that NK's human freak show of a dictator, Kim Jong Il, will attempt an opportunistic attack as soon as the balloon goes up in Iraq. My guess: 1200 GMT, January 26, 2003

[Mr. Mojo]

I hate to be so negative, but can we take a bet on how many Allied cities get nuked? I say two American

They don't have the delivery system - ICBMs - necessary to get the warheads over here.