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To: dadwags; TaRaRaBoomDeAyGoreLostToday!
From what I can see, Jefferson and St Landry did Terrell in.

I analyzed the results from the 96 election and compared those results with the numbers from Saturday. Overall, about one-half million less people voted in this election than the one in 1996. That was a presidential election year so that decrease would not be unexpected, however, the Republican challenger was Dole. The following table shows the results. The numbers in the loss columns are the 96 value minus the 02 value for the party's candidate, of course, the Democrat candidate is the same. The difference column is the Rep loss minus the Dem loss. Notice that Landrieu lost lots of votes in Orleans, but bled less than Terrell just about everywhere else. Terrell did not get the votes in Jefferson. A further illustration of this is that Landrieu picked up 10,969 votes in Orleans(80% for her) compared to the primary but she also picked up 7,878 votes in Jefferson(44% for her). The numbers give a so what picture to the Republican effort.

  R LOSS D LOSS DIFF 
Acadia 4,657 2,777 1,880
Allen 1,828 1,154 674
Ascension 2,723 2,093 630
Assumption 1,901 61 1,840
Avoyelles 2,599 1,521 1,078
Beauregard 2,359 1,519 840
Bienville 958 709 249
Bossier 4,247 4,225 22
Caddo 8,999 11,290 2,291
Calcasieu 11,622 8,674 2,948
Caldwell 878 556 322
Cameron 817 513 304
Catahoula 1,249 648 601
Claiborne 994 664 330
Concordia 1,576 1,267 309
DeSoto 1,111 1,076 35
East Baton Rouge 21,124 17,245 3,879
East Carroll 514 505 9
East Feliciana 807 585 222
Evangeline 3,219 1,322 1,897
Franklin 1,868 934 934
Grant 1,470 1,087 383
Iberia 6,233 3,777 2,456
Iberville 2,308 680 1,628
Jackson 996 327 669
Jefferson 32,225 20,189 12,036
Jefferson Davis 2,634 1,574 1,060
Lafayette 11,622 9,162 2,460
Lafourche 5,922 3,791 2,131
LaSalle 1,657 743 914
Lincoln 1,286 2,292 1,006
Livingston 4,367 3,080 1,287
Madison 664 912 248
Morehouse 2,412 1,619 793
Natchitoches 2,144 2,581 437
Orleans 15,775 37,270 21,495
Ouachita 7,991 6,982 1,009
Plaquemines 1,297 752 545
Pointe Coupee 1,748 806 942
Rapides 8,308 7,839 469
Red River 461 240 221
Richland 1,301 916 385
Sabine 1,161 1,536 375
St. Bernard 5,091 2,632 2,459
St. Charles 2,854 2,832 22
St. Helena 841 563 278
St. James 1,248 345 903
St. John the Baptist 1,877 926 951
St. Landry 6,762 3,024 3,738
St. Martin 3,538 2,057 1,481
St. Mary 4,223 4,069 154
St. Tammany 5,158 5,145 13
Tangipahoa -915 558 1,473
Tensas 387 305 82
Terrebonne 6,234 5,284 950
Union 1,091 1,123 32
Vermilion 3,693 3,484 209
Vernon 2,064 2,161 97
Washington 3,308 2,373 935
Webster 2,274 2,404 130
West Baton Rouge 1,294 717 577
West Carroll 857 464 393
West Feliciana 329 251 78
Winn 1,624 1,376 248
    34,278

2,106 posted on 12/08/2002 8:13:26 PM PST by AndrewC
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To: AndrewC
Excellent analysis, AndrewC. I bet the guys at Hot Line didn't think to do this in their report. After looking over the parish totals again, it really seemed that Terrell was weaker than the 40,000-vote loss. And it surely seemed that turnout was less in Republican areas than in Democrat areas. I think these results also bode very poorly for the GOP in the 2003 governor's race. Already, Lt. Gov. Kathleen Blanco seems to have a large early lead, based probably on name ID. The main Republican candidate seems to be State Sen. Ken Hollis. I have no idea if he could be competitive at this stage. It looks like the legacy of LA without the Longs continues: Democrat as ever. Also, I think if one of the Republican House seats (except for Vitter's) opened up, any would be ripe for a Democrat takeover.
2,107 posted on 12/08/2002 8:46:41 PM PST by Theodore R.
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