In 2004, the legitimate, convention-nominated nominee will be forced aside or will suffer an injury/illness/death. He will be replaced with Hilary. She will run, as did Lautenberg and Mondale, on the coattails of sympathy and without protracted campaigning. It is her only chance. She cannot defeat W in debates because she has absolutely no experience.
She cannot run in 2008 because she will look ever more haggard and old. And while that is okay for the Lautenbergs and Mondales of the world, wrinkly old female leftists don't make for good tv (see Helen Thomas for details). This is her only chance - count on it.
I agree with you on the way she'll have to get in. Test case A worked; test case B backfired. In fact it did more than backfire IMO. It killed the sympathy scam. The rubes have seen it too many times now. (I hope.) The brighter Rats will recognize it. Also, ANOTHER convenient plane crash might be pushing it even for them. It's gotta be A, a withdrawal for some reason IMO, and VERY close to the election.