SHaheen has to get near 60% of independents to win. If she's not polling near there tonight Sununu will win. You heard it here first Pat.
Cameron saying Dems are now admitting Bowles didn't get the minority turnout he hoped for. Also, Cameron says that the 5% lead Shaheen has in the early returns are actually misleading because the early returns in NH come from the southern, more liberal part of the state.
Both tidbits sound promising.