To: VAGOP
The Georgia Numbers don't seem to make a lot of sense to me. He basically has the Independants going from 62-33 for Chambliss to 58-39 for Cleland. A change that happens as a result of that debate the other day, which pundits have called as lopsided as you'll see at the national level.
Of course one thing is true when you look at polls. the Margin of error increases significantly with the sample size, so these more specific numbers that Zogby gives are often statistically insignificant.
the only way I could see that debate being and advantage for Cleland would be if there was a big pity vote, as people feel like Chambliss beat up on the poor crippled man. It shouldn't happen, but never underestimate how dumb people can be.
I am going into this with negative thoughts (my people are dumb theory), and hoping I will be pleasantly surprised.
To: bigmikes
I think Chambliss wins by a few thousand votes. There is no way any person watching that debate could say Cleland won, unless they're being paid to do so. The libertarian vote is down to 1% and more people think Cleland needs to go.
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