I do think Zogby vastly overestimates minority turnout,
Yes, it does. In 2000 a lot of my black friends were ENRAGED over the dragging death in Texas & blamed Bush for it. No, it doesn't make sense, but the point is that the blacks were all railed up over it and turned out in massive numbers (fortunately, in Florida, the Cuban turnout was abnormally high enough from Elian to tip the scale).
There isn't a similar issue this year. If the sniper had been white, we'd have been in pretty serious trouble, but the sniper being black seems to have taken a lot of enthusiasm out of them.
al sharpton is in miami at krome detention center talking to the haitian's that unloaded in miami.
How about freepers carrying signs in miami saying only citizens can vote or illegal voting is a deportation offense.
If the sniper had been white, we'd have been in pretty serious trouble, but the sniper being black seems to have taken a lot of enthusiasm out of them. And according to recient grocery store tabloids, a homosexual pedophile as well. These are Democrat voting bases. Black, homosexual, and pedophilia (NAMBLA) supporters.