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To: elfman2
If you look, you will find them. You might consider that General McArthur, one of America's greatest military minds regarded Taiwan as key to the Western Pacific and called it an "unsinkable aircraft carrier." Indeed, it is the key to the Western Pacific. It controls all the important shipping lanes to Japan and Korea from the Middle East and many of the shipping lanes to the Phillipines.

McArthur's comment is true today. For example, Japan went to war with the US over oil in WWII. It is more dependent on Middle Eastern oil today than it was in the 40's.

So the probable result of Chinese occupation of Taiwan is neutralization of Japan, Korea and the Phillipines. With that one stroke, China will have eliminated all locations from which western air assets may be conveniently deployed against much of China.

Sure, the public in China has been whipped up into nationalist pride and I do not discount the importance of pride in sustaining popular support for a policy. But the leadership would not be investing the billions it has put into arming to invade Taiwan (nor would it spend countless dollars whipping up that pride) unless Taiwan were so strategically important.

180 posted on 10/26/2002 10:59:39 AM PDT by ffrancone
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To: ffrancone
Certainly the Chinese are an exceedingly practical people. . . . except when their pride gets hooked.
185 posted on 10/26/2002 11:31:33 AM PDT by Quix
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To: ffrancone
"So the probable result of Chinese occupation of Taiwan is neutralization of Japan, Korea and the Phillipines."

I don't discount the strategic importance, but "neutralization", whatever's meant by that, is likely gong to take more than proximity to "preferred" shipping lanes. Without more evidence of that as a motivation, I don’t find your argument convincing. Nations have invested a more for less strategic ambitions, including our own.

187 posted on 10/26/2002 11:50:01 AM PDT by elfman2
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To: ffrancone
Why would Beijing want to shut down shipping lanes in the Western Pacific? Beijing as the second-biggest international trading nation on earth in terms of exports and imports is one of the prime beneficiaries of open shipping lanes worldwide. It's how they make a lot of their money.
215 posted on 10/26/2002 8:21:12 PM PDT by formosaplastics
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