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To: Kenton
Well thought out.

I too, think the first days contain lots of clues, as well as the no weekends or Tuesdays. I don't see why he dropped to one a day and I don't see how Fredericksburg fits in.

Fredericksburg has to be another shooter (cell) in my terrorists theory. I don't believe the police can match the bullets to one gun, just one type of gun.

This guy can't last much longer. I'm expecting a big shootout at the end. And, then a major cleaning of these known cells.
233 posted on 10/16/2002 2:03:07 PM PDT by John Jamieson
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To: John Jamieson
I too, think the first days contain lots of clues, as well as the no weekends or Tuesdays. I don't see why he dropped to one a day and I don't see how Fredericksburg fits in.

This is just a hunch... If you look at the pattern, we had two days of multiple shootings in the northern suburbs. The evening of the first day, there was publicity, but they hadn't yet determined that the two shootings were connected.

On day 2, he shot 4 people in the morning, and after that, the was no doubt that all these shootings seemed to be tied together. At that point, a very disorganized manhunt was beginning. He had finally gotten their attention. And just to drive the point home, he went out and shot a guy in downtown DC that evening.

Now, he's watching FNC every time he's home, because they are the "All-Sniper, All the Time" network this week. He knows that the authorities are mustering in Montgomery County to begin a serious hunt for him. There are roadblocks beginning. So he decides, just to throw them off, to go off in a completely new direction - many miles to the southwest, far away from the previous shootings, yet still easily accessible by freeway. Because he knows that the search is concentrated in the northwest near suburbs. That's why he chose Fredricksburg, I think.

After that, he purposely bounces around rather than conform to an easily identifiable pattern. He modifies his MO based upon the intelligence he gathers from the news.

237 posted on 10/17/2002 5:20:38 AM PDT by Kenton
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To: John Jamieson
I don't see why he dropped to one a day

Probably because his early multiple shootings were done in an information vacuum. The first day, all they knew was the had a couple of shootings in the DC area, nothing all that unusual about that. After the second day's carnage, he knew that the element of surprise was gone, so he couldn't risk multiple shootings, and he had to take his handiwork someplace he hadn't been before, because Montgomery County was too hot.

238 posted on 10/17/2002 5:31:24 AM PDT by Kenton
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